the end of population growth

1633 Words4 Pages

Introduction

In this paper we will analyze an article about the population growth, written by Sanjeev Sanyal in 2011. We will start describing what the stages of the demographic transition are and we will focus on the third one that is the one analyzed in the article. As the main issue of the article is why population growth is declining in developing countries, we will analyze the link between development and population growth. We will take in account the policies that can be implemented to achieve the goal of controlling population growth. Related to this, we will particularly focus on China’s one-child police underlining what the problems linked to this policy are. As a final stage of our analysis we will take in account the role of developed countries in the demographic transition of developing ones.

Argument
The article written by Sanjeev Sanyal analyzes the fact that the forecasts about the population growth in 2050 are not reliable because they misrepresent the demographic dynamics.
In most countries, especially in developing ones, national censuses have revealed that fertility rates are plunging and that, reproductively speaking; our species should no longer be expanding. The TFR for most developed countries now stands well below replacement levels and the biggest TFR declines in recent years have been in developing countries. The article considers the particular case of India and China where an additional factor could depress future birth rates: the gender ratio at birth is higher for boys than girls and the future scarcity of women implies that both countries’ effective reproductive capacity is below what is suggested by the unadjusted TFR. Continuing on analyzing especially India and China the article tries to expl...

... middle of paper ...

... to care about. In fact, as we have seen, there is a strong relationship between development and population growth. To answer the previous question about why the total fertility rate is declining in developing countries, we have to say that the decline in the population growth is induced by the development but at the same by governmental policies that have the purpose of stimulating development. But even if these policies implemented by developing countries can lead to good results, it also important to consider what unwanted consequences may occur. China one-child-policy represents one the most extreme kind of policy that can be deployed and because of its extremisms it is starting to reveal all its weakness. This is way developed countries have the duty to be involved in developing countries demographic transition helping them finding the most effective solution.

More about the end of population growth

Open Document