The Study of the Population Growth of Kenya and Thailand

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The world’s population grows by 150 people per minute and 78,840,000 people per year, according to medindia.net. With the increasing population, the world may not have enough resources for everyone. The average Global Hectare per person in Thailand is 1.15 and in Kenya it is 0.59 as of 2007 and the average global hectare per person in the world is 1.8 (Wikipedia). Due to the growing population, the average number of global hectares per person is shrinking. More land is required to sustain a larger population. A country’s population growth nearing its carrying capacity has negative effects such as water, food and land shortages. This lack of resources can impact the population trend of a country and if the country can no longer support it, it will start shrinking. Through this PBL, we will only be looking at scenarios whereby the rate of population increase does not change, and it should be noted that extreme social and political activity may have an adverse affect on the accuracy of this PBL.

Aim

Aim

The aim of this PBL is to study the population growth of Kenya and Thailand, and through research, be able to predict the future population trend of these countries. I aim to do this by studying past figures of population growth of these countries, to study the factors affecting population growth and to look at population growth formulas used to calculate future population growth.

The Kenyan population has grown from 1.63×〖10〗^7 in 1980 to 4.09 ×〖10〗^7 in 2010, increasing by 167% over 30 years.

The Thai population has also grown, growing from 4.74×〖10〗^7 to 6.64×〖10〗^7 by 40.1% over 30 years.

Rate Of Natural Growth

Year

Country 2000 2005 2012

Thailand 17-8=9 16-7=9...

... middle of paper ...

...

This formula will only help give us an idea of the future population growth; there are limiting factors that will slow down population growth until the population

If we round 67091090 to 3 significant figures to 6.71〖×10〗^7, Thailand’s population is estimated to increase by 1.00×〖10〗^8 people by 2020.

Conclusion

The population growth of Kenya may increase by 2.13×〖10〗^8 people and in Thailand by 1.00×〖10〗^8 over 8 years. This is based on assumptions that there will be no significant social, political or geographical disasters. Through this PBL, I have learned that even the most unlikely of factors such as literacy rate can affect population growth, and it is only possible to predict the growth of a country under perfect conditions.

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