1) Identify several economic trends that will affect U.S. equity and U.S. fixed income markets. Economic growth will boost employment opportunities which in turn will create increased economic activities that will result in higher GDP and increased stock prices. As economic growth improves, flat commodity price and a moderate increase in wages and consumer spending will generate a small gain in global inflation. Job gains in the USA are expected to continue at a moderate pace. This, however, will have a negative effect on corporate earnings. However, increase in household cash flow due to low-interest rates helped consumers to reduce their mortgage payments and consumer debts. This reduces the fear of a recession in next 12 months. The combination of steady economic growth and restrained inflation will prompt central banks to remove their monetary stimulus. Federal Reserve Bank may go ahead with future rate hikes which will impact bonds negatively. 2) …show more content…
Overall positive outlook on commodities reflects our sector-specific views, which range from an underweight for precious metals to a modestly positive view on oil and a more sanguine outlook for natural gas. Although I expect prices for oil to remain range-bound, I believe positive returns from oil are still likely given investors’ ability to roll higher-priced short-term contracts into lower-priced longer-term contracts. I see the greatest potential for price gains in natural gas, given low inventories and the need for strong production growth to provide adequate supplies in 2018. Commodity prices have already shown signs of stabilization. The outlook for economic growth has improved in the US emerging markets, increasing the demand for commodities. Meanwhile, The US commodity markets have gradually moved towards a better balance of supply and demand, evidenced by 2018 strong rally in base metals and stabilization of global energy
Brent crude, the main international benchmark, was trading around $48 a barrel. The American benchmark was at around $45 a barrel (Clifford Krauss). Regular gas nationally now averages around $2.65 a gallon, compared to $3.45 a year ago. Now the law of demand states consumers will buy more of the product if the price falls; of course when gas was at it's lowest peak everyone was driving around with there a/c on. They would use gasoline more often since it was not hurting their pockets as much. Now there is some instances where other goods and services can drop from gasoline prices. This can include a lawn mowing services and automotive business.
While studying the industry as well as the Chevron Corporation, I have been able to found a gap between consumption and production capacity which is expected to widen more from now with the demand side for energy exceeding the supply side of them same. Reserves has started to yield lesser outputs, as per the statistics of HIS energy, which claim such case to be applicable nearly 90% of all known energy reserves. In addition to that, the discoveries of new oil fields have slowed down, and studies have revealed that a new groundbreaking discovery of any oil reserve is yet to be made since 2002. These studies can easily provides enough evidence to conclude that the production patterns will only continue to diminish in futures, if dependency is on the existing ones, unless some new discoveries are made, many of the related projects being still in the pipeline, with no reliable or expected date of production start. This usually restricts companies in such industries to organically grow, leaving them with the only financial growth option to merge, horizontally or vertically, with another in the same or related industry.
...l feedstock. If ANWR drilling is allowed, our domestic crude oil production can reach a feasible rate of 10 million barrels per day by 2020. Additionally, with innovations in technology and better consumption habits are implemented, factors like: fuel efficient vehicles can be produced, electric battery created, and natural gas in freight transportation can be extended.
Economic: As seen recently, recessions can come along effecting markets for coming months or years. The emerging markets in China, India and Brazil, may boost sales for whoever gains those market shares. While the United States continues to experience a growing market its important to pay attention to the
Currently, the most important factor in the rise of gas prices is the increasing cost of crude oil. Unfortunately, the United States has three percent of the world’s oil reserves. (Horsley) In 2009, the United States was third in crude oil production as well as the world’s largest petroleum consumer. (e. I. Administration) Such consumption required and still requires the United States to import petroleum/crude oil from other countries.
In this sub-section, I will look at how changes in oil prices affect stock market returns with reference to academic papers
Simmons forecasts an increase of OPEC crude production at or around 1.0 mmbl/d after the March 27 meeting, as well as another hike of 1.5 mmbl/d at their second semi-annual in 3Q00. Their supply and demand forecast for 2000 predicts an average supply shortage of 1.2 mmbl/d, estimating supply and demand at 75.3 and 76.5 mmbl/d respectively. Supply will exceed demand most widely in 1Q00 with 3.6 mmbl/d, while easing to a surplus of 0.3 mmbl/d in 2Q00. Simmons sees 3Q00 undersupply at 1.0 mmbl/d and 4Q00 at 1.2 mmbl/d. The 2001 estimates depict OPEC production remaining stable at 29 mmbl/d, factoring in an additional 0.1 mmbl/d for possible problems with compliance. 2...
When evaluating the propane shortage from an economic point of view, one would notice that the price increase reflects the law of supply and demand in action. Regrettably, propane consumers need more propane due to the weather, despite the decreased supply to the Midwest due to pipeline maintenance and increased propane use to dry crops during the fall harvest.
For a goal to be the most efficient it can be, it has to be S.M.A.R.T. as Siegel and Yacht (2009) explain in our textbook, Personal Finance. Personal finance is the way we conduct and work with our own household finances and how we make the best of what we have. Goals we make in doing that have to be specific, measurable, attainable, realistic and timely. Let me explain these five individually. We have to make our goals specific which means nothing general such as, "my goal is to succeed in life.” Those kinds of goals won 't work. Your goal has to be measurable and should be tracked in the process of accomplishing it. It should be attainable, shouldn 't be anything that you as a human being cannot accomplish and it also has to be realistic
barrel and per gallon has gone up significantly worldwide. The price of oil has already passed
As a result of this economic growth families will begin to feel more confident and will begin to spend more of their money instead of saving it because they believe that will receive a pay raise or will find a better job. (Amadeo, 2016) Borrowing also increases when economic activity is high people begin to borrow from banks and other places because they feel that the government has been doing a great job managing the economy. (Amadeo, 2016) As we have seen in 2008 people should never get to confident in the economy because our economic bubbles are used to crashing when they are doing very well and it’s never really the people’s fault it’s the governments. Although inflation begins to rise when the economy is doing great one of the things that is known to bring prices down is competition among businesses. Competition is great because one company will attempt to sell a product for a cheaper price than another company which results in lower prices the same as you see with cell phones and automobiles. Higher prices can also be caused by technological innovations when people are expecting a new product the producer can sell it for a higher price because they know that consumers will spend almost any amont of money to obtain that product. (Amadeo, 2016) Higher demand for new products will increase employment to meet those demands and inflation will rise which will benefit the economy tremendously. Whenever the price level increases, spending must also increase to be able to buy the same amount of goods and
According to Douglas, (2015) low oil prices place strain to African oil exporting countries such as Nigeria while net oil importing countries stand to benefit as costs decline the fuel prices also decline. Although in South Africa it’s much helpful considering Eskom increasing importance of diesel as it struggles to generate enough power to meet demand (Douglas, 2015).
Managing personal finances is an important skill to acquire. However, no where in school is this subject taught. As a result of a lack of preparation, our society is subject to a high percentage of people who lack financial success. Those who are successful at managing their personal finances will find that they are successful in many other areas as well. To learn how to manage personal finances there are books and web sites that provide a step by step guide to successfully managing personal finances. Those who lack financial success often possess many of the same traits.
Personal Finance is a class I’ve wanted to take for a while now. My major is Finance not because I want a career in finance but more to learn about finance for my own personal situation. This class taught me so much! During this class I was able to evaluate my financial situation and set financial goals for myself. The four topics that helped me the most were emergency savings, buying a car, purchasing a home, retirement, and estate planning. After completing this class I have a better understanding of these topics and how to achieve my financial goals.
Macroeconomic management in a situation of slower economic growth and higher inflation remains a challenging task. Raising the aggregate demand would be an important policy option to address the slow economic development. However, due to high inflation, any attempt at raising the output via increasing aggregate demand could put further pressure on prices.