Paraguayan War

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The War of the Triple Alliance, also known as the Paraguayan War, was absolutely the bloodiest war in Latin America; maybe even the world. It is a largely accepted idea that throughout the war Paraguay lost roughly half of its population (most males 18-50). There is a division in the scholarly world about this claim, however. Some researchers believe that the loss was actually as low as 8.7 percent of its total population, while others claim it was as much as 69 percent. Since there is little creditable data about the population size before 1864 or the rate of the growth in Paraguay before and after the war, that experts on the topic tend to make their own calculations relying heavily on assumptions and self-written formulas that are not commonly accepted. The so-called “experts” on this matter are torn between what statistics are reliable or realistic and because of this; there is an intense argument as to who the real authority on this subject is. The debaters on each side have convincing figures and evidence to back up their claims, muddling the concept even more. Without clear cut, concise data, how does one make an educated decision on whom to believe? By thoroughly examining two different opinions on the matter, while also considering counter-arguments to their points, it is clear that in fact Paraguay did lose between 40-50% of its population in the War of the Triple Alliance.

The 19th Century in Latin America was rife with revolution and political change. Due to the instability of a continent, bursting with fledgling democracies (at least in name), a new breed of leader began to emerge throughout Latin America. This new head of government was defined as a strong military leader who ruled forcefully. In Latin America, thes...

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... Department, J. Y. Joyner Library, East Carolina University, Greenville, North Carolina, USA.

I was not able to get access to this paper yet, but I have contacted special collections more than once and I am trying to get a response.

Williams, John Hoyt. 1976. Observations on the Paraguayan Census of 1846. The Hispanic American Historical Review , Vol. 56, No. 3, pp. 424-437 http://www.jstor.org/stable/2514374 (accessed January 21, 2012).

John Williams gives the most in depth and researched account of the population figures from what I understand. He uses and explains his sources in great detail and when he does make assumptions of the numbers he rationalizes those assumptions in a thorough way. His estimate of average family size in the 1860’s is the most sensible and his take on how much of the population was truly lost was insightful and reasonable.

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