China’s Rise and Policy Options for the United States

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The rise of China as a great power will most likely be one of the greatest potential challenges facing the United States in the 21st century. The rapid growth of China’s military and economic power – and the simultaneous decline in American capabilities –could become a source of tension and perhaps conflict between the two countries as the responsibilities that each state feels it should take on begin to change. There is reason for optimism, however, as specific economic factors, the general “openness” of the current international system, and shifting trends in how great powers interact with one another should exert a cooling influence on the Sino-American relationship. The strategy that the United States is currently pursuing has been largely successful at preventing potential flashpoints between the U.S. and China from igniting, but several additional measures could and should be taken to further decrease the risk of conflict between the two countries.

Numerous developments within the past several years seem to suggest that China’s growing share of global power presents a serious challenge to the security of United States. The recent financial crisis has seen China become more assertive and vocal on the world stage, and Chinese policymakers are using the opportunity to solidify long-held public positions on issues such as Tibet and Taiwan (Economist 2009). China is also increasing its aid to places once considered peripheral to great power interests such as Africa in an effort to enhance its economic position and global standing. These moves, coupled with recent Chinese calls for reform of the international monetary system, suggest that a new “Beijing Consensus” on development and monetary policy may be emerging in opposition ...

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