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Purchasing power parity theory notes
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PURCHASING POWER PARITY
During the last decades, The Purchasing Power Parity, shortly – PPP, has been a controversy among economists regarding its validity. The exchange of the purchasing power takes place at a certain exchange rate where the purchasing powers of domestic and foreign currencies are equal. To emphasize its importance, this essay builds up a deepen analysis of the purchasing power parity theory and discuss the extent to which financial managers should or should not devote time and attention to the concept.
PPP concept and the Law of One Price
According to Suranovic (1997), ‘’Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a theory of exchange rate determination and a way to compare the average costs of goods and services between countries’’. Another interpretation of the theory is given by Darby (1983) as follows: ‘’Purchasing power parity is a customary starting point for explanations of price changes in a country maintaining a pegged exchange rate with a reserve country whose price changes are taken as given’’. Shortly, the PPP theory states that exchange rates between currencies are in equilibrium when they have the same purchasing power in each of the two countries involved. What this means is that for example, taking the exchange rate into account, a bundle of goods should have the same price in the UK and France when expressed in the same currency.
The Purchasing Power Parity, also called the ‘’Inflation Theory of exchange rates’’, is based on an overall price index that builds up a common base for country comparisons by connecting the currencies of different countries to a mutual unit. In this case, PPP is superimposed as an a priori condition to convert a country’s income and expenditure in local currency t...
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... goods should be the same.
The Law of One Price forms the basis of the PPP theory presenting its own limitations within the modern business world.
After carefully analyzing the purchasing power parity theory, the extent to which financial managers should or should not devote time to the concept has been discussed concluding that despite criticism, PPP is still a theory that needs to be considered in order to reduce the foreign exchange risk.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Robert J. Hodrick Geert Bekaert, 2013. International Financial Management. International ed of 2nd revised ed Edition. Pearson Education Limited.
Japan Consumer Price Index (CPI) | Actual Data | Forecasts | Calendar . 2014. Japan Consumer Price Index (CPI) | Actual Data | Forecasts | Calendar . [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.tradingeconomics.com/japan/consumer-price-index-cpi. [Accessed 01 May 2014].
The purchasing power parity implies the following relationship between the home (GB £) and local (US $) costs of debt:
Thus, imports of American goods are under less competitive pressure to keep prices low. Thus, weak dollar benefits U.S. exports by making American goods cheaper in foreign countries. Foreign tourists can afford to travel and visit the United States. When the dollar is falling, foreign purchasing power is increasing. Purchasing power is the amount of value of a good or service compared to the amount that you paid.
Economic indicators often affect and influence the value of a country's currency. The Trade Deficit, the Gross National Product (GNP), Industrial Production, the Unemployment Rate, and Business Inventories are examples of economic indicators. We will be dealing with four specific indicators: interest rate, inflation, unemployment, and employment growth, as well as Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Real GDP is so called because the effects of inflation and depreciation are accounted for in the figures. The state of the economy is important both on a micro and macroeconomic level.
Reserve Bank of Australia (2010). Measures of consumer price inflation. Retrieved August 19, 2010, from http://www.rba.gov.au/inflation/measures-cpi.html.
Gross Domestic Product, measures the amount of goods/services produced within a border and translates it into monetary value. Each country has its own currency unit, so economists derived two methodologies in order to compare different GDPs. The first one is P.P.P. or Purchasing Power Parity; it compares GDP based on the national income in domestic market. Most goods in China are relatively cheap, so P.P.P boosts up China’s GDP. However, many experts are wary of this method; P.P.P estimates can be imprecise and misleading when comparing a developed country to a developing country (Forsythe). Consumer goods in a poor country tend to be cheap since its people don’t make a lot of money; if the goods are expensive, then the majority of the average Joe won’t be able to survive. The second, and more credible, method is the rate exchange method, which utilises the international market value. With this latter measure, “the United States’ economy remain nearly twice as big as China’s (Levi). Even if the rate exchange does show China’s GDP higher than the US’s, that alone does not prove that China is the better
A traditional analysis gives a mistakenly high value to dollars in the future, money in the future is given the same value as money today; but in reality, money in the fu...
...Although this theory is very rational and scholarly it again asks for a very ideal situation of fairness where the chances of both disputants coming to these terms seems unattainable. Also, it is quite obvious that what one sees as fair, another may not. All the same, the theory by itself provides great principles for negotiation that if followed honestly by both parties would most likely lead to a satisfactory agreement.
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. (2012, August 14). International Investing. SEC.gov. Retrieved February 25, 2014 from https://www.sec.gov/investor/pubs/ininvest.htm
...M. "INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL MOBILITY IN HISTORY: PURCHASING-POWER PARITY ~ THE LONG RUN." National Bureau of Economic Research. Sept. 1996. Web. 15 Apr. 2014. .
Walker, Bruce. "Euro Likely to Keep Losing Value." The New American. The New American Magazine, 7 July 2010. Web. 23 May 2011. .
Howells, Peter., Bain, Keith 2000, Financial Markets and Institutions, 3rd edn, Henry King Ltd., Great Britain.
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