Aha Moments

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You would think that my stepfather would have had some aha moments once he realized that his trading days were numbered. After coming home from the hospital and making a few more trade, he still continued to lose money. Even his brush with death did not shake him up enough to change his old patterns of trading.

My stepfather could not access his natural ability to act with confidence when trading. He could never see himself like a Stud Trader. This is probably true for many traders, and any trader can learn from my stepfather’s blocked experiences.

My stepfather never considered that he might need to work on his state of mind and the psychology that underlies trading. He simply believed that studying chart patterns without any written notes or JPEG pictures was sufficient. He believed that the entire game of trading was learning how to read the charts, and therefore he had little use for techniques that would neutralize his fear of loss. He needed to create aha moments to turn on the light switch in his dark room.

How to create aha moments

►►►►► Progression of aha moments

What are aha moments? Aha moments bring new clarity to your trading game. Aha moments upgrade your trading performance:

1. You see something new… something you may never have seen before. For example, my stepfather could have taken the controlled risk to keep a trading journal and noticed the results.

2. You see something that you have not grasped until now. For example, you now see the value of only making high-probability trades with reasonable gains. You now see the true irrational nature of Mr. Market, and you know how to deal with him.

3. You see something that is no longer just intellectual k...

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...hich equals 0.02775. The probability of rolling five two times in a row is approximately two and three quarters times out of 100 occurrences.

What are the probabilities of five coming up three times in a row? Answer: You multiply the probability of the three events occurring:

· Pr (event 1) X Pr (event 2) X Pr (event 3)

· .1666 times .1666 times .1666 which equals 0.004624.

The probability of rolling a five three times a row is approximately four and half times out of one thousand occurrences.

The difficulty is that when you roll the die (singular for dice) you are never really sure that the five will only appear two and three quarters times out of 100 hundred occurrences.

For example: If you randomly roll the die one hundred times, you could easily experience:

· Three consecutive fives come up twice in a hundred rolls.

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