The Effects of Plagues

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The Effects of Plagues

The effects of the plagues differed from one region to another

according to the forms of agriculture practised and local economic

conditions. So we should be very careful about making broad

generalisations. As one might expect the kill rate was lower in the

countryside than it was in the towns, but it was still significant. In

a selection of Essex manors hit in 1349 the range was between 25% at

Market Roding rising to 54% at High Easter. Medieval Essex was highly

manorialised and close to the main trade routes out of London and

along the Essex coast and therefore more vulnerable. Overall rural

mortality is thought to have been around 30% for those parts of Europe

affected by the 1348 plague.. This however is not the end of the

story. Between 1349 and 1369 recurrent bouts of the plague removed 80%

of the pre Black Death population at Coltishall in Norfolk. These are

catastrophic figures which must inevitably have affected the whole

economic scene. Societies cannot afford to lose populations on this

scale and recover overnight. Economic recession was inevitable.

There were a number of collateral phenomena which added to the

immediate impact of the 1348 Plague. The inability of the survivors to

bury the dead has already been noted. In the countryside people died

in the field and ditches and were left to rot. But humans were not the

only victims. Knighton noted that in 1348 there as a also a great

murrain of sheep everywhere in the realm "so that" he

says

"in one place more than 5000 sheep died in a single pasture, and they

rotted so much that neither beast not bird would approach

them"...."Sheep and o...

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...in the transition to leasehold tenures and away from feudal

labour services. Others, especially Bridbury have argued that there

was genuine economic growth in the late fourteenth century. More

recent historians have reemphasised the crucial role not just of the

Black Death, but of the subsequent plagues in preventing the recovery

of population levels to the critical mass at which they could sustain

an expanding economy comparable with that of the thirteenth century

and precipitating a fundamental change in the structure of lordship

and agrarian society. After 1348, and especially after the 1380's

things were never to be the same again. Substantial economic growth

did not come until the sixteenth century and it depended, as it did in

the twelfth century, on the response of the towns to the mid

fourteenth century crisis.

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