More Will Be Worse Scott Sagan Summary

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Scott D. Sagan, the author of chapter two of “More Will Be Worse”, looks back on the deep political hostilities, numerous crises, and a prolonged arms race in of the cold war, and questions “Why should we expect that the experience of future nuclear powers will be any different?” The author talks about counter arguments among scholars on the subject that the world is better off without nuclear weapons. In this chapter a scholar named Kenneth Waltz argues that “The further spread of nuclear weapons may well be a stabilizing factor in international relations.” He believes that the spread of nuclear weapons will have a positive implications in which the likely-hood of war decreases and deterrent and defensive capabilities increase. Although there …show more content…

Sagan brings forth a great point across in which although the Cold War implied that nuclear weapons helped prevent war and bring stability to the world, the collapse of a bipolar system could become more damaging. In supporting his point, I believe that although there may seem to be no signs of a catastrophic accident thus far, the spread of nuclear weapons, may serve as a ‘calm before the storm’ in which sooner or later all those who obtain nuclear weapons may finally come to using them. This gives reason to cease further spread of nuclear weapons. However, I found it interesting how Kenneth Waltz used structural realism to argue that nuclear weapons represent a type of balancer in inter-state relations. In a sense, I understood that Mr. Waltz was saying that deterrence operates by frightening a state out of attacking and that peace is achieved by having the ability to punish others with nuclear weapons but never intending to use them. Although Waltz points out how the idea of how massive destruction caused by nuclear weapons makes it less likely for states to rise up, he fails to see how having possession of nuclear weapons still brings about the possibilities of accidental. I also disagree with waltz and believe arms races are reduced by arms control agreements and trust between states rather than the power of obtaining nuclear weapons as a possible last resort. The way I see it, Waltz opinion explains the short-term effect of having nuclear weapons and that is

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