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Financial crisis of 2007-08
Financial crisis of 2007-08
Financial crisis 2008 effect on world economy
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Background of the Global Financial Crisis; What is it all about? It all began with the one and all American dream, that every American should have a home. Regardless of who you are and what you do, if you are an American, you should have something called a home. Real Estate business was in a boom, and financial agents thought that there wasn’t a better time to give away loans. The Household sector was given a boost with increased monetary supply by commercial financial companies, and people were given loans regardless of the credit rating they received. It was never expected that the boom in the Real Estate business would come to such an abrupt end, and the prices would reach all time low. The US economy being a capitalist driven economy didn’t bother to indulge itself in the policies pursued by the then prominent financial giants. Gradually these financial giants in this business started feeling the heat as “sub-prime” clients started defaulting in their repayment of loans. The properties which were mortgaged by the clients weren’t even covering the principal amount of the loan, leave alone the interest commitments. The credit offered to the people in indiscriminate fashion, achieving short term goals and ignoring warnings from leading economists about long term sustainability of the policy, backfired completely and companies like Lehmann Brothers, Merill Lynch, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae’s “bad assets” reached magnanimous proportions. An acute credit shortage was experienced in the economy, and simultaneous negative effects started occurring. The credit crunch meant that borrowing interest rates shot up in the market, companies slowed down their investment policies, production declined, lay offs increased, consumption decreased and the whole economy followed the downward spiral. The unemployment rate in the US reached an all time high of 6.1% and industrial growth saw its largest decline in the past three years and fell to 1.1%. The US governments realized the gravity of the situation, and started using monetary as well as fiscal policies to check the diminishing economy. Fiscal policy boost in the way that, an amount of around US$ 1 trillion was pumped into the economy to increase the liquidity scenario. The financial companies which filed for bankruptcy were nationalized, or there non-performing assets were accounted for by the government. The Federal Bank of US also lowered the monetary policy rates, like Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR), relating to the amount of money required to be deposited by commercial banks to the Federal bank, so as to have some check on the sky high interest rates.
Mid September 2008 saw a significant change for the Australian economy, with the collapse of the Lehman Brothers triggering the Global Financial Crisis. The Global Financial Crisis was characterised by a tightening in the availability of money from overseas markets and resulting in governments having to intervene to maintain market stability. The Australian economy and its leaders generated considerable discussion about the prospect of a global recession, while most expected the financial crisis would have a major impact on the Australian economy, a factor that was not considered was the immediacy of its effects. The December quarter of 2008, saw business stocks devalue by $3.4 billion, the largest fall on record. In addition, there was a considerable softening in property prices, resulting in many companies/people having too much debt vs. too little wealth. With this, consumer confidence plummeted which in turn deteriorated consumption. Throughout the month of September and into October, the financial crisis spread from the United States to Europe, and all around the global economy, with economies contracting in growth.
Although the crisis came to head in 2008, there were people who had realized that trouble was coming for years. The largest warning sign was the amount of credit in the market place. Many of the big companies and banks had very little capital, and the lack of capital was brought on by the housing bubble. Companies were lending too much money to people who could not pay them back. And even before people started to default on their mortgages, people could see that this was a problem. During a meeting with the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs in January 2007 the staff of the Federal Reserve admitted “that they were aware of [the] problem in the housing issue three years earlier” (Dodd). And they were not the only ones. As far back as 2001 there were people who saw the danger that sub-prime mortgages were and who were trying to have bills passed to stop the bad lending that was going on, but no one wanted to list...
In the article Predatory Lending and the Devouring of the American Dream, the article talks about how subprime mortgages were a booming success in the mid- nineties to the early two-thousands. It was a success because subprime mortgages offered an opportunity for people with bad credit history or people from the lower class of society to actually be able to purchase a home. The only consequences of doing subprime mortgages is that there is a high interest rate which makes paying off the home in a reasonable time impossible. More and more people started to apply for subprime mortgages, therefore, causing a crisis. The crisis was because people could not keep paying on their homes, so foreclosures happened. The percent of people applying and getting approved for subprime loans went up anywhere from seven to eight percent every year which also was a contributing factor in the crisis. The fact that the perfect home went up nine hundred square feet in four years, and eighteen years later was up by eighty-five hundred square feet is just an example of how the American Dream was going up in size but down in value.
It can be argued that the economic hardships of the great recession began when interest rates were lowered by the Federal Reserve. This caused a bubble in the housing market. Housing prices plummeted, home prices plummeted, then thousands of borrowers could no longer afford to pay on their loans (Koba, 2011). The bubble forced banks to give out homes loans with unreasonably high risk rates. The response of the banks caused a decline in the amount of houses purchased and “a crisis involving mortgage loans and the financial securities built on them” (McConnell, 2012 p.479). The effect on the economy was catastrophic and caused a “pandemic” of foreclosures that effected tens of thousands home owners across the U.S. (Scaliger, 2013). The debt burden eventually became unsustainable and the U.S. crisis deepened as the long-term effect on bank loans would affect not only the housing market, but also the job market.
The business cycle is the short-run alternation between economic downturns and economic upturns (Investopedia n.d.). A recession is an economic downturn and happens in every country and some recessions are worse than others and the output of GDP and employment are falling farther and faster. The great depression lasted from 1929-1933 and was a deep prolonged downturn in the business cycle before a recovery/expansion of the business cycle occurred and GDP and employment started to rise (Krugman & Wells. 2012). The next recession lasted from 1981-1982 and was comparatively smaller than the first (Krugman & Wells. 2012). More recently in 2001 a slump in the economy was noted and was followed by the great rescission of 2007-2009 (Krugman & Wells. 2012). Recession is defined as a “period of at least two consecutive quarters (a quarter is three months) during which the total output of the economy shrinks” (Krugman & Wells. 2012). In the United States the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is assigning the task of determining when a recession begins and the NBER looks at a variety of economic indicators such as employment and production (Krugman & Wells. 2012). Every business cycle recession has a negative impact on the economy the recession’s deferrer on the strength of the impact on the country. Consider the two charts for Figure 21-5 of the more recent recessions of 2001 and 2007. The Recession of 2001 did not last as long as the recession of 2007 and did not have as much of an economical hardship on the business cycle and as shown 2007 dipped greatly in industrial production. In the second chart it demonstrates a recession at the point the economy turns from expansion to recession or the business-cycle peak. Then in the char...
With the after effects of the stock marketing falling in 2008, and less investments involving risk and the GDP falling. This is when the economy began turning internationally. With imports, exports and foreign investment falling along with the combination of employment and production being cut back this recession affected the global economy. The unemployment rate in the United States began to skyrocket as well. Below is a graph depicting the unemployment rate in the United States during the 2008 recession. This graph data is from Oregon Economic Crisis Analysis.
It has been 5 years now, but the world economy is still hovering over with ill effects of global economic recession. Different economist define recession in a different way but one common definition which can be derived is that recession is long lasting and prime reason for slowdown to economic activity(GDP). In terms of measuring the effects of recession, the broadest indicator of economic activity is real gross domestic product(GDP). Our following section will discuss how the economic activities in US has actually decreased since the beginning of market turmoil.
In the early 2000’s the housing market boomed, real estate was a hot investment and everyone was looking to buy a home. However not everyone can afford a home and a majority of people were forced to take out a mortgage to purchase real estate. During the housing boom banks were supplying subprime loans and upping the risk in the real estate market. These loans were not only risky but irresponsible on the part of the banks’ lending them, and although individuals receiving the loans thought they were being helped at the time, these loans were a major reason why so many people their homes, almost crippling toe U.S economy as a whole.
This essay will examine the causes of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) from a Marxist perspective. This paper will specifically examine and critique how Marx’s Theory of Crisis can be applied to understand and interpret the underlying structural causes of the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
The housing market crash was a response to a chain of businesses and people who believed that the old laws of banking were no longer important. Banks were no longer required to hold on to mortgages for 30 years which gave them the ability to sell off to other companies, without concern for the mortgage holders. David Harvey, a renowned geographer, warned us of this problem, stating that “labor markets and consumption function more as an outcome of search for financial solutions to the crisis-tendencies of capitalism, rather than the other way around. This would imply that the financial system has achieved a degree of autonomy from real production unprecedented in capitalism’s history, carrying capitalism into an era of equally unprecedented dangers” (Coe, Kelly, and Yeung, 2013)
Individuals like the two young and rambunctious mortgage consultants portrayed in the film gave loans to anyone and everyone that could sign the paper, regardless of the recipient’s ability to pay the loan in full. It is doubtful that all consultants fully understood the ramifications of their actions, but undoubtedly the overall disregard for consequence was the start of the collapse. Mortgage consultants mislead and tricked people into loans they could never afford by playing on their desire to live the American dream. Distributing adjustable rate loans to individuals without jobs, without collateral is unconscionable. Unfortunately, from their perspective they were helping these individuals. In a twisted way, these consultants were acting ethically from a utilitarian point of view. The consultants won because they received utility in the form of a bonus for distributing the loans, and the loanee won because they could now afford the home of their dreams. What the consultants didn’t consider in their calculations were the long term results and utility of their actions, unethically building the flawed foundation of the housing
The recent Global Financial Crisis (GFC) initially began with the collapse of credits and financial markets, which caused by the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US in 2007. The sub-prime mortgages were given to high-risk lenders (with bad credit history) who were in danger of defaulting, which eventually caused a global credit crunch, where the banks were unwilling to lend to each other. In October 2008, the collapse of the major financial institutions and the crash of stock markets marked the peak of this global economic slowdown (Euromonitor International, 2008).
Following the trend of economy, it is important to investors to understand that strong economy creates strong stock market. To elaborate further, as stock prices are increased by current and future expectations of earnings, thus without a strong economy it would be difficult for the companies to increase and sustain their earnings (Kong 2013). The economy development is usually calculated using the gross domestic product of a countries. On the other hand, a change is the stock price can also cause a major impact to the consumers and investors directly. Hence, a loss in confidence by investors can cause a downturn in consumer spending in the long term, which will also affect the economy’s output (Aysen 2011). The graph below shows the relationship of stock market price (KLCI) and the GDP of Malaysia in 2009. Thus, it can be concluded that the economy and the stock market has a positive relationship.
Globalization is the new notion that has come to rule the world since the nineties of the last century with the end of the cold war. The frontlines of the state with increased reliance on the market economy and renewed belief in the private capital and assets, a process of structural alteration encouraged by the studies and influences of the World Bank and other International organisations have started in many of countries. Also Globalisation has brought in new avenues to developing countries. Greater access to developed country markets and technology transfer hold out promise improved productivity and higher living standard.
The macroeconomic environment is a dynamic environment, which could not remain unchanged (Gajewsky 2015). There are many factors influence the global macroeconomic environment, such as interest rate, exchange rate, GDP,aggregate demand, monetary policy and other macroeconomic variable (Oxelheim and Wihlborg 2008). These factors are closely associated with commodity price.