Essay On Government Debt

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The traditional perspective on government debt, as presented by authors such as Buchanan (1958), Bowen et al. (1960) and Modigliani (1961) highlights the negative macroeconomic consequences of public debt and underline its burden for future generations. The authors emphasize that future generations will endure a diminished capital stock and hence have a reduced income. In a paper analyzing the impact of internal and external debt, Diamond (1965) argues that internal debt increases the interest rate, lowers utility in the efficient case and is likely to rise or lower it in the inefficient case, while external debt moves the interest rate away from the growth rate and may raise or lower utility rates in inefficient cases. The author uses both a centrally planned economy and a competitive one to explore long-run competitive equilibrium in a growth model, and then explores the effects on this equilibrium of government debt. Another strand of literature argues that public debt does not matter. This is based on Barro’s theorem of debt neutrality, which is founded in the hypothesis of intergenerational altruism. The theory, as it was initially formulated by Barro (1974) and Becker (1974), argues that taxes for intergenerational redistribution across individuals do not affect their utility. This is mainly based on the argument that individual utility is driven by their own consumption and also from the level of utility of future generations. For additional literature on the subject of intergenerational altruism, see Andreoni (1989), Altig and Davis (1989), and Michel et al. (2006). Despite the above streams, authors such as Fincke and Greiner (2011), Haugh (2011) and Collignon (2012), argue that up to a certain point government debt is be... ... middle of paper ... ... sustainability of Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) systems at their current status, social security taxes will not be enough to finance the outstanding pension benefits. Additionally, in a study using Sweden as an example, Bengtsson and Scott (2011) argue that due to the change in age structure the welfare will be confronted with challenges regarding financing benefits at their current levels. The authors state that the most likely solution to this matter will be an increase in tax base, since reductions in welfare provision are disregarded both from a political and social level. Woods (2007) highlights that an aging population unbalances the social policy structures around pensions, employment and care. As a potential solution to this matter, Espig-Andersen (2006) and Schmid (2006) argue that the impact of demographic change may be softened with the change in retirement ages.

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