Bye Week Research Paper

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The topic of the thesis I am going to be reviewing is what the title suggests, the effects that bye weeks have on a team’s performance within the NFL. The idea of this topic originally spanned from a Reddit conversation I was involved in that discussed the advantages teams have due to the disparity in their strengths of schedule. NFL scheduling is not due to any random process but rather it is carefully pre-determined months in advance by executives and analysts within the NFL organization in order to maximize their revenues by having games scheduled at times that maximizing the amount of people who are appeased and minimizing the amount of people who are displeased. It can be inferred that the teams with weaker schedules have a greater likelihood …show more content…

At the time of the project proposal, Hurricane Irma had just occurred and the week 1 game between the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers had to be cancelled due to weather conditions. Thus, they will be forced to play for 16 straight weeks as opposed to the rest of the NFL having bye weeks between weeks 4 and 10. I sought to research what sort of repercussions those two teams will face as a result of their 16 straight weeks of play. The Master’s thesis I am reviewing covers the effects of bye weeks on in a very comprehensive manner. The introduction of the paper touched upon the process of scheduling within the NFL and the history of bye weeks within the NFL. The bye week system was implemented in 1990, when the season was prolonged to 17 weeks while the total number of games played remained at 16. In 1993, the NFL experimented with a 2 week bye system which was subsequently reverted back to 1 week the following year. Aside from a few years, bye weeks occurred between …show more content…

Older teams are able to get more benefit from bye weeks than younger teams. “Bad” teams get greater benefit than “good” teams. A bye week team going into a non-division match gets much greater benefit than a bye week team going into a divisional match. Finally, there is no evidence to suggest that there is an optimal time to have a bye week. From this author’s manipulation of variables to improve his R-squared, I learned of the importance of manipulating variables to increase their predictive strength and omitting ones that are simply not helpful to the model. I also learned of the importance to think outside the box when considering implications of a study. Even though this was a study within the NFL, the results from here have a broad scope that extends far beyond the NFL, this study could have implications on the effects of rest on all facets of a person’s

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