Manhattan Construction Company Case Study

797 Words2 Pages

Stephanie Herzog

Lesson 12 Essay

John Kinser

Rio Salado College

October 14, 2016

Lesson 12 Essay

John Campbell works for Manhattan Construction Company, and has filed a lawsuit against Doug Reynolds, owner of Eastview apartment due to a claim that John injured his back while repairing the roof at one of the Eastview complexes. John is asking for $1,500,000.00 in damages due to rotten sections of roof that could have been prevented that caused his injury. Mr. Campbell offered to settle for $750,000.00. Allied Insurance has considered a counter offer of $400,000.00 in hopes to avoid trial. A decision tree has been created to predict the possible outcomes, and to help create scenarios to …show more content…

Campbell’s acceptance of the offer (10% probability), or Mr. Campbell may counteroffer with a $600,000.00 offer (50% probability), in this scenario Allied Insurance would accept his counteroffer. The last option would be if Mr. Campbell rejected Allied Insurances counteroffer (40% probability). If this were to happen, this would create three additional possibilities. If Mr. Campbell rejected Allied Insurances counteroffer, Allied Insurance could potentially lose and would have to pay $1,500,000.00 in damages (30% probability), another option would be for Allied to win, and Mr. Campbell would receive nothing for his injury (20% probability), the most likely scenario if Mr. Campbell were to reject the counteroffer would be for Allied Insurance to lose, and pay the original settlement amount of $750,000.00 (50% …show more content…

Campbell’s settlement offer. According to the decision tree, the counteroffer of $400,000.00 has an expected value of $670,000.00, which would cause the company to lose money on this particular deal. Based on the information provided, our firm suggests the following actions for Mr. Campbell’s case. If Mr. Campbell were to accept Allied Insurances counteroffer at $400,000.00 no further action would be necessary, however if Mr. Campbell rejects the counteroffer, the decision would have to be settled in court by a jury. If John were to make a counteroffer of $600,000.00, it would be advantageous of Allied Insurance to accept this counteroffer. Finally, we must create a risk profile to find the optimal strategy. To find the optimal strategy we must multiply the probabilities of each path from the end points of the decision tree. As listed below, the most likely outcome will be a settlement amount at

More about Manhattan Construction Company Case Study

Open Document