Qualitative Forecast Address

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Qualitative Forecast Address H-D has multiple risk factors that it calls out in the annual report. Many of these factors include items identified in revenue and cost factors. One of the main increased costs that results in potential revenue is the expansion into immature markets. There are many things to consider when entering a new market such as India. First, what are the social implications and what does the brand mean in that country. Though population is high and units of motorcycle sales are one of the largest in the world, what existing product is similar to high end motorcycles? International expansion means understanding governmental affairs and working with multiple parties to open channels to sell product. Prior to 2007, H-D …show more content…

If there is a large push for electric motorcycles and H-D is not ready to mass produce units, they will not meet demand. Pressure from government agencies for regulation, testing, and more may impact performance options of a V-Twin motorcycle. Time spent on leisure goods is another variable that has risk. As new products become available, customers have the option to spend time enjoying items such as gaming, streaming movies, etc. Cost revenues are expected to increase. The largest impact of cost as noted in the previous section is raw materials and commodities. Though technology is increasing in areas of production, items such as GPS and fuel injection are new add-ons that H-D is using in its product mix. As new technology is added, suppliers may be limited compared to something like steel that has multiple sourcing options. Costs need to be contained in this area by proper supplier …show more content…

If the amount of disposable income decreases, customers may choose to leverage products outside of this industry. Harley-Davidson differentiates as they do not advertise motorcycles, they focus on the lifestyle as a rider. This challenges customers to evaluate giving up a choice in lifestyle versus a single product. According to the IBIS World Industry report, revenue volatility is very high in the motorcycle manufacturing industry. The motorcycle industry volatility is expected to be 21.6; anything above a 20 is very high. (Molavi, 2010) The University of Michigan found that the index of consumer sentiment was 80 in their March 2014 report. (Survey of Consumers - Thomson Reuters, 2014) From March 2013 to March 2014, there has been a span of 73.2 to 84.5. Consumers are anticipating decline in the economy in the next five years. Evidence of how volatile the industry can be was seen in 2009 during the

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