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Demographic analysis paper
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Insight into a countries population characteristics are an integral component into understanding the social and economic progression of a nation. There are several population elements in particular that offer a more in depth understanding of a countries demographic outlook; such as age and sex demographics, fertility and mortality rates, and annual population growth. There are several other demographic factors of which aren’t discussed that provide furthered intensive understandings into the demographic topic that link into the mentioned population subjects, such as immigration and emigration. In addition, the understanding of such features creates the basis for informed future political decision making, policy development, and planning processes …show more content…
There are three categories of population pyramids; expanding, stable, and contracting. A comparative observation of the 1990 population pyramid for the selected developed countries show a somewhat contractive demographic environment for both male and females. With all countries showing a considerable tapering off after the age bracket of 40 – 44 and relatively average life expectancy levels there on after. They also display signs of a steady decrease in birth rates as the person’s age in the 0 through to 14 age brackets sustain a similar level of people; with the United States being a slight exception as there are signs of an increasing birth rate in the 0 – 4 age column. The 1990 population pyramids for the selected developing countries display an expanding population trend. What this demonstrates is that these nations had a predominately younger population with high birth rates with low life expectancy levels as the population numbers severely taper off from birth. A notable observation of the population pyramids for both developed and developing European countries, and to an extent Australia and the United States of America, is the impact of World War I from the age of 70 onwards. The result has left a significant dent in the male populations and the feminisation of the 70-74 age bracket and onwards as a consequence …show more content…
Total fertility Rates (TFR) are defined as the estimated number of children born to a single women throughout their fertile life time; data is usually based between the ages of 15 to 50. Within the 25 year timeframe the developed nations display a constant number of children born to a single woman. The data displays that all three developed nations have a TFR of around 2. This can be used to describe why the three developed nations show a relatively consistent population pyramid base in 2015. The selected developing nations are seen to have comparatively higher TFR’s in 1991. However, all three nations have displayed a steady decline in TFR’s, with the two of the three nations (Brazil and Turkey) showing a reduction to around two child per women from 1991 to 2015. This places their TFR’s at first world standards and explains the 2015 population pyramid trends of a declining child population. Of particular concern however is Nigeria, as the 1990 data shows that within a Nigerian woman’s lifetime she is projected to produce 6 to 7 children; 2015 data reveals a drop to around 5. These confounding statistics explain the constantly expanding population pyramid figures, as well as why the Nigerian population displayed the most rapid rise in population out of the other countries from 1990 to 2015. This TFR analyses
As an object of analysis sociologists defines population as an aggregate of people in a geographical area that has size and longevity. The size has a lower limit of two and no upper maximum. Longevity varies and has a lower limit of zero with no known upper limit. Populations are by definition made up of individuals. The study of human population is termed demography. Demography studies the size and composition of a population, as well as migration and location of the population. Demographers track birth rates and death rates and monitor the population growth and try to explain them in terms of the social system's development. A good example is the Malthusian theory in which population increases geometrically and the resources increase arithmetically resulting in a lack of resources resulting in famine and war. Fortunately the theory is flawed in that it does not consider social factors such as artificial contraception and the burden of large families in a post industrial society. The way a population interacts with the environment creates a social system. The social system draws on the population and affects the population. An example of this is in India where the ratio of men to women is 108 (108 males to every 100 female) while the sex ratio of most other nations is below 100. The cause for this disparity ...
Briefly describe the factors that lead to population growth and potential stabilization. How does human demographics influence population dynamics in more and less developed nations and what might this mean for future population and economic growth? What do you see as the pros and cons of a large human population (brief)? Are there too many or too few people? Why do you think this?
Countries all across the world experience population growths, and population declines. Governments have had all sorts of different regulations and incentives to hinder or promote population growth. Some governments, like America, have blocked out certain groups, for example the Chinese (Oriental Exclusion Acts), from immigrating. On the contrary, the American government in the 1940’s started the Bracero Program to bring Mexican’s into the United States as contracted laborers. There are many examples of control over immigration from the government, and the differences between the 20th and 21st centuries are complex and interesting.
Life expectancy in many parts of the world has increased since 1800 (Life Expectancy by Age, n.d). To understand these changes we can study the demographic transition, the changes in birth and death rates over extended periods of time. The industrial revolution has significantly improved the conditions of humans and in 20th century death rates declined but the birth rates remained unchanged. In many of today’s developed countries both rates have declined; however, in developing countries, while death rates have declined due the improvements of living conditions, the birth rates are still high which has caused a record high population growth (HAUB & GRIBBLE, 2011).
Population growth has always been a controversial issue for the world. Developed countries which are characterized by an aging population favor population growth, however less developed countries see population growth as bad. Population growth and control has been one of the major concerns in the developing world, however Africa’s demographic situation seems to be different from the other developing countries. The article “Africa’s population: Miracle or Malthus?” discusses whether Africa will face disaster (as in Malthus’s theory) or demographic dividend and studies the various determinants of high but slowly decreasing fertility rates in African countries. The following paper will study why Africa is an outlier in the developing world and why education is a crucial tool for reducing the African fertility rates.
From 1975 until 2003, globalization has caused a 2% increase in the adult literacy rate. During the same time period, the poverty rate dropped 6%. Women's fertility rates have also dropped. In 1975, women had an average of 6 children each. In 2003, that average dropped to less than 3 children per woman.
Many scientist and specifically sociologists are concerned with the population on planet Earth. Many couples today are choosing not to have children. This choice does not just effect the couples personally, however it effects the whole country's demographic. The increase in childlessness among couples generates economic and social problems. Many countries are facing this problem. Hara in a journal article mentions that Japan and Germany are a couple of the countries that are going through childlessness (Hara, 2008).Today, more than 80 countries depend on immigration to prevent the populations from declining, due to the death rate being higher than birth rate. (Becker-Posner, 2013) How will declining birth rates affect demographics in many countries around the world? How will it affect the Global economy? How will it affect societies in different countries; will it raise social and racial tensions? Will it affect relations
There were rises and falls in birth rates starting in the late 1920’s. “The birth rates were low in the late 20’s and early 30’s, then became very high in the 1940’s through the early 1960’s. The birth rate growth was only then modest in the late 1970’s through the early 1990’s” (Lerman & Schmidt, n.d.). It was not uncommon for large families in the earlier years from the 1940’s through to the 1960’s. The increase of children could have been cau...
The closing case in chapter 1 points us to a shift in the worldwide demographics. When looking at population pyramid, there has been a shift from the traditional pyramid of a country’s age distribution, to pyramids that are starting to look more like diamonds or rectangles. This is caused by lower birth rates and an increase in life expectancy. The change in both birth rates and life expectancy can mainly be attributed to an increase in urbanization and education levels. Further, low birth rates and high life expectancy has also led to a decrease in the country’s population leaving a larger portion of the population over the age of 65.
Human population growth tends to occur in developing countries, where education is poor, particularly among the women who do not want to have fewer children, and the economy is poor. These developing countries are rich with history and the women have ideologies and pressures from the surrounding communities to bear many children. Religion is also heavily practised by the nations, and in some of these religions multiple children is desired. A male may also have the right to marry several women, all of whom he has multiple children with.
I have found a couple of articles from previous papers to support my thesis. The first article I found from WND Faith is titled “Birth rate poses looming economic cloud.” According to the article China’s one child policy has negatively affected the country’s economy and created a shortage of workers. The author of the article, Leslie Fain, states that “Now the forecast is out that the U.S. economy could come under stress in the future – because of a lack of babies.” The same things happening in other countries, such as China, could easily happen here in the U.S. if our fertility rates continue to decline over an extended period of time.
United Nations Population Division. “Replacement Migration: Is It a Solution to Declining and Ageing Populations?” United Nation. 20 Mar. 2000. Web. 6 Jun. 2010.
An increase in human population can influence our economy. Some of the factors that are affected are unemployment, poverty and the restriction of economic expansion. When the population increases, the cost of health, education, and other areas of urban growth are affected. Unempl...
Demography is the study of the components of population variation and change. Death rate and birth rate are two determinants of population change. Theory of Demographic Transition is comparatively recent theory that has been accepted by several scholars throughout the world. This theory embraces the observation that all countries in the world go through different stages in the growth of population. A nation's economy and level of development is directly related to that nation's birth and death rates. Population history can be divided into different stages. Some of the scholars have divided it into three and some scholars have divided it into five stages. These stages or classifications demonstrate a transition from high birth and high death rates to low birth and low death rates. The Theory of Demographic Transition suggests that all nations begin in stage one as underdeveloped, third world nations and through time transition into first world nations. Firstly this theory was developed based on the statistic collected in many European countries. In this theory, birth rate and death rate are considered to be the major factors or demographic events for bringing change in population.
Demography is the study of human populations (Thomson, 2007). Demographers study characteristics such as birth, death rate, sex, ratio, and age structure in a population. Studying such changes is useful in the understanding of social, and economic problems which help to identify possible solutions (Thomson, 2007). The study of Demography allows us to be able to comprehend and analyze economic and social trends which is crucial in preparing for future developments. (Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick, N/A).