Russia invades Eastern Ukraine because it wants more power for greater security of its state. As mentioned by Dunne, Kirk, and Smith, states are always looking for ways to gain more power whenever feasible because it increases and assures their chance of survival according to offensive realists (cite).
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...state’s intentions with a higher degree of certainty” (Dunne, Kirk, & Smith). Even with a higher degree of certainty, it is still uncertain of state’s intentions and what could possibly happen. Decisions can always change if the actor deems it leads to the better consequence. Therefore, if Russia did want to start the war, it could win, but it is too risky to sacrifice their current power without further knowing what other states intend to do. If war happened, Russia may experience what happened with Germany during World War I and II and end up losing power and become a weaker state. This is the opposite of what Russia would like as it wants to increase its power and become a regional hegemony if possible. Therefore, Russia does not annex Eastern Ukraine because it is uncertain what may happen and what the best decision to continue to help maintain its current power.
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