The Ukraine Crisis

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In a Post soviet environment World has evovled around a unipolar system with united states having a preponderance in international matters. The remanants of the cold war still haunting europe. Most of the Eastern European nations formally allied with soviet union are now turing away from russia towards European union. The Reasons for this paradigm shift owes a lot to the democratic ways of the liberal western world and the economic ties and stability being offered to its allies. Hitherto Ukraine was in a dilemma whether to join the western block or to to under the patronage and shadow of Russia. The Multi ethnic population of Ukraine has different opinions. Some favour Russia and others favour European union. Their choices seems to be motivated by geographic and cultural proximity. The Immediate cause of the current crisis traces its origin to the Ukrainian presidents descision to forfeit an agreement with the european union. And Endorsing the russian aid in terms of a bail out plan and an added gas price reduction. So the current crisis has far reaching political and economic ramifications. If russia pulls out of the economic bail out package there needs to be an alternative. European union has a responsibility to ensure the regional peace. A military action in Ukraine would further deteriorate the situation and may escalate it to a multiparty conflict.

Ukraine is a nation that voluntarily disposed its nuclear arsenal and ICBMs . In Mid nineties it was the possessed the third largest nuclear arsenal. Though the disposal of nuclear arsenal was n't taken for granted, it involved an economic incentives. If ukraine had those nuclear weapons , there would have a minimum credible deterrence. Nuclear Abilit...

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.... Any attempt to withdraw the troops will definitely have a profound influence on maritime issues in black sea.

NATO's presence in the Europe has been touted as a measure to counter Soviet Union and later Russia. Russia is surrounded by multiple military bases in eastern European sector. Ukraine was the primary forward base for Soviet union during the cold war. So a hostile governent in one of it's forwards bases poses a subtle strategic threat for Russia. In order to counterweight the regime backed by west Russia may support the favourable group.

Being a diverse country comprising of multi ethic population its quiet natural to have diverse opinion. A state needs to be pluralistic and must heed attention to the voice of the people. The Ukrainian governemnt has failed in that account. Ukraine is on the verge of civil war and it must be avoided at all cost.

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