following the principles of the Expected Utility Theory and making future predictions based on rational information. It assumes there is no element of cognitive bias or sentiment affecting asset prices (O’Keeffe, 2014). The Expected Utility Theorem introduced by Bernoulli (1738) and further developed by Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) states that the “decision maker” bases their decision regarding “risky outcomes” solely on their predicted return or “expected utility”, this recognises the risk averse
kind of information? Do we take all the information into account before... ... middle of paper ... ...s have shown that humans are risk averse, and they value loss more than gains from a bet, which means that wealth shows diminishing marginal utility. There is a lot of research work going on in this particular field, more so since the crisis of 2008. The purpose of this article was to make readers aware of the subject .Behavioral finance is an interesting mix of logics, psychology and economics
proposed Prospect Theory . Kahneman and Tverskey (1979) proposed the use of a psychological point of view in the well-known Prospect theory to explore the psychological behavior of investors, and the Value Function to replace the traditional expected utility theory. “Value Function” holds that a different attitude to risk prevails amongst investors when facing the prospect of either gain or loss. Facing gain, investors tend towards risk aversion to ensure the stability of profits. Facing the prospect
With the advancement in EV technologies there has been an increasing approval of EVs leading to an increased market share. Gardner et al. (2013) draws the connection between transportation systems and electric power systems and discuss how the market penetration of PEVs a few years down the line could adversely affect the power grid of a city. They suggest ways to accommodate PEVs in the traditional transportation models and emphasizes on the importance of such a model. Range anxiety may cause PEV
Smith/Stulz-1985, hedging can increase the value of the firm if it faces a convex tax function. İf the marginal tax rates are the increasing function of the firms pre-tax value, then as long as the cost of the hedging is not too high, firms can increase their expected post-tax value if they can reduce the variability of their pre-tax values by hedging. İt implies that, when there is a convex tax function, volatility of income provides low tax payments in some periods while it leads to high tax payments in other
Contemporaneous shocks these three future house prices. also factors in the demand for homeownership. We know that as the spatial correlation or expected horizon N get larger, the demand for homeownership generally increases, while other premiums that are indirectly realized in through future sale and purcha... ... middle of paper ... ...s and expected horizons that are adequately long enough, homeownership becomes the less risky decision. The conventional wisdom that defies that renting households
It's Time for a Less Destructive Relationship with the Planet Earth Humans have long looked to the sky and dreamed of space exploration and finding other planets in far-away galaxies that harbor life. Recently, in response to a growing recognition that resources are finite, some have considered distant planets viable supply stations when earthly resources run out. Supposedly, these foreign reserves will allow humans to maintain current, and even expanded, material standards. Despite these longings
One of my favorite board games is Monopoly. I have noticed when I’ve played Monopoly that it seems like you always land on certain squares more than others. For instance, it seems like no one ever lands on Boardwalk, and players land on the pink and orange properties more often than they land on the others. The aim of this exploration is to find out if, over the course of a Monopoly game, a player will land on some squares more often than others and to use this information to figure out which properties
Talking about the book value per share it is important to know that market value is a forward looking measure and reflects what investors believe shares are worth while the book value is an accounting measure. Also, if a market value is much higher then there is a bull market, though if book value and market value are close to each other, then financial markets are likely experiencing bear market. Technical Analysis Another approach for stock selection is technical analysis. Levy (1966) stated
1. INTRODUCTION The efficient market, as one of the pillars of neoclassical finance, asserts that financial markets are efficient on information. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that there is no trading system based on currently available information that could be expected to generate excess risk-adjusted returns consistently as this information is already reflected in current prices. However, EMH has been the most controversial subject of research in the fields of financial economics during