Question 1 The macroeconomic environment is a dynamic environment, which could not remain unchanged (Gajewsky 2015). There are many factors influence the global macroeconomic environment, such as interest rate, exchange rate, GDP，aggregate demand, monetary policy and other macroeconomic variable (Oxelheim and Wihlborg 2008). These factors are closely associated with commodity price. For commodity price, the demand and supply are directly contributing to the price volatility. The changes in interest rates and exchange rates are significant influence for commodity output and it also has impact on the commodity prices (Dornbusch 1976). For example, based on the equation of AD=C+I+G+NX. If the government expenditure increases, it will tend to …show more content…
During this period, global consumer price inflation presented a trend of fluctuation reduction. According to World Bank data (2015), world real GDP growth slightly which is from 2.4 to 3.3 in 2012-2016. Moreover, weaker investment environment lead to the job creation rate decrease of 1.4% every year after 2011, the unemployment rate is high correspondingly (world economic situation prospects 2016). Industrial commodities like energy, metals and minerals both decline more than 35 each from the beginning of 2011 to the end of 2014 and this trend will continue (World Bank 2015). Meanwhile, China as the world’s largest exporter and the second largest importer country, economic growth becomes slowing than before (Chen 2016). It has the significant impact on the global trading environment. At the same time, global trading volume …show more content…
There has a significant effect on reasonably sufficient liquidity in the banking system. Also, monetary and credit growth rapidly and stably, the market interest rates decreased conspicuously and maintain a stable exchange (China Monetary Policy Report 2015). In terms of fiscal policy, China sustains the proactive fiscal policy, boosts the infrastructure expenditure, accelerated reform the tax system and stimulates the economic growth (Jourdan and Lu 2015). For the forecast, the PBC will adapt to the dynamic economic environment, to ensure the policies continuity and stability, maintain the prudent monetary policy and continuing a moderate elastic scope (China Monetary Policy Report 2015). In addition, Chinese government will remain a more proactive fiscal policy. They will moderately increase the financial deficit and preparing to make the biggest reform in the policy and avoiding the fiscal cliff, especially focus on the tax system and expand the effectiveness of government’s expenditure (Cevik and Carolina-Caro 2015). Meanwhile, China will strengthen the coordinate of monetary and fiscal policies, which stabilizing the Chinese economic
The global economy has been recovering from the financial crisis which occurs in 2008, then has a weak growth for most developed countries over 2012 and 2013. But economic activity in Canada has expanded at a faster pace than most other major advanced countries in 2012; however, economic performance in Canada has been unsteady throughout 2013 (The Economic review, 2013). After the last quarter in 2010 GDP growth rate grows rapidly, the GDP grows slowly but steadily in 2012 which remains at around 3 percent. Real GDP growth rate in Canada grows slowly in the first quarter of 2013, but increased by 5 percent in the second quarter ,then remains the same level until the first quarter of 2014 (Statistics Canada, 2014). In 2014, the Canadian government take a series economic action plan as a guide for the economy development such as improving investment conditions, ...
The picture in China during the recession had been quite different than in the U.S., as demand for steel to build cars, bridges, and appliances helped prop up global steel prices. However, demand in China has slowed and brought fears of China exporting ...
Robert E. Lucas Jr.’s journal article, “Some Macroeconomics for the 21st Century” in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, uses both his own and other economist’s models to track and predict economic industrialization and growth by per capita income. Using models of growth on a country wide basis, Lucas is able to track the rate at which nations become industrialized, and the growth rate of the average income once industrialization has taken place. In doing so, he has come to the conclusion that the average rate of growth among industrialized nations is around 2% for the last 30 years, but is higher the closer the nation is to the point in time that it first industrialized. This conclusion is supported by his models, and is a generally accepted idea. Lucas goes on to say that the farther we get from the industrial revolution the average growth rate is more likely to hit 1.5% as a greater percentage of countries become industrialized.
The natural gas market, however, is in an upturn as recent figures demonstrate – contracted demand higher gas prices. The relationship between demand and supply, which regulates the market price and quantity, are influenced by various factors (any changes in market other than a change in prices) resulting curves to shift – that is, market price and quantity increases or decreases.
What would be the real impact of Chinese currency appreciation on the two economies (China and US) is the question that begs for answer. Already there a conflicting views of the real benefits of such a scenario. On the case of China, it has been argued that an appreciation would hurt the competitiveness of its exports. In the case of the US, the expected benefit as result of stronger currency are undermined by what opponents have describe as potential increase in the price of China’s exports that would consequently affect American consumers and firms that use parts and component made from China. A stronger currency similarly might limit the ability investor to purchase US assets (Morrison & Labonte, 2011). Considering the Mixed re...
For the past twenty-five years, China has witnessed an overall increase in its domestic growth (Fischler 148). According to the article, “The Rise of China as a Global Power,” by Dr. Rosita Dellios, China “is the world's fourth largest trading nation, rising from 32nd in 1978 to 10th in 1997.” Similarly, China’s GDP is also second to the United States of America, generating 13 percent of the world’s output (Dellios). Since China’s introduction into the World Trade Organization in December 2001, its average tariff dropped from 41 percent in 1992 to 6 percent in 2001, becoming one of the most open economies in the world (Dellios). China is also the world’s fastest developing economy, obtaining an annual growth of 9.5 percent through foreign direct investment, low labor rates, emerging markets, and growth expansion. (Dellios). Therefore, the 21st century has been titled the “Chinese Century”, as China has become the second-largest international economy in the world (Ji-lin 15).
In the study of macroeconomics there are several sub factors that affect the economy either favorably or adversely. One dynamic of macroeconomics is monetary policy. Monetary policy consists of deliberate changes in the money supply to influence interest rates and thus the level of spending in the economy. “The goal of a monetary policy is to achieve and maintain price level stability, full employment and economic growth.” (McConnell & Brue, 2004).
Despite the fact that recent reports have shown that the Chinese currency is currently facing descending pressures, it is, however, likely to improve in the future because of the enhanced terms of trade, current account surplus that is growing, and high net saving. Another reason that will make the Chinese RMB to do well in the future it is because the currency has solid fundamentals and the economy of the country is significantly increasing at a higher rate than the GDP rates. Due to the growing Chinese economy to being the second largest economy, the Chinese currency yuan has been acknowledged by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as a major global
Xingzhong, LI Daokui David YIN. "The International Monetary System in the Era of Post-Financial Crisis: What Policy Options Does China Have?[J]." Journal of Financial Research 2 (2010): 005
The stability of currency values plays a significant role for economic and financial stability. It is not difficult to see the exchange rate fluctuations are widely regarded as damaging. As the movements of the exchange rate have significant and large effects on the trade balance, resource allocation, domestic prices, interest rate, national income and other key economic variables. Then can exchange rate movements be predicted by these fundamental economic variables?
The appropriate role of government in the economy consists of six major functions of interventions in the markets economy. Governments provide the legal and social framework, maintain competition, provide public goods and services, national defense, income and social welfare, correct for externalities, and stabilize the economy. The government also provides polices that help support the functioning of markets and policies to correct situations when the market fails. As well as, guiding the overall pace of economic activity, attempting to maintain steady growth, high levels of employment, and price stability. By applying the fiscal policy which adjusts spending and tax rates or monetary policy which manage the money supply and control the use of credit, it can slow down or speed up the economy's rate of growth in the process, affecting the level of prices and employment to increase or decrease.
International trade is the growing share of global production and growth in trade is expected to outperform
There are four main factors influence the demand of cars. Firstly, the price of cars will affect the demand of cars. Secondly, the citizens’ income has the effect for the demand of cars. Thirdly, the government’s macroeconomic control policies will also effect the demand. Finally, the price of gasoline will affect the demand.
In the late 2000s, the World suffered from a big global economic crisis which caused “the largest and sharpest drop in global economic activity of the modern era”, in which “most major developed economies find themselves in a deep recession”, according to McKibbin and Stoeckel (1). Because its consequences have a very big impact to the whole world, many economists and scientist have tried to find the causes of the crisis; and some major causes have been emphasized are greed, the defection of the free market system, and the lack of prudent regulation and supervision. This essay will focus on the global imbalances, one of the most important causes of the current economic crisis.
China’s economical strength comes from its international trades as the economy has grown to a rate of 10.3% in 2010. It has become the world’s largest exporter in the global economy. In the area of trade, three major strengths of China are 1) it is the single most important challenge for the European Union (EU) trade policy, 2) China is the second trade partner behind the U.S., and 3) it is the EU’s biggest source of imports by far with the dramatic increase in the EU-China trades over the recent years. The EU exports of goods to China were 113.1 billion Euros and in imports was 281.9 billion Euros in 2010. The service exports were 18 billion Euros and in imports were 13 billion Euros in 2009. China has also established trades with Australia. Recently, the two countries have been cooperating and assisting each other in industries such as agriculture, energy and minerals as they continue their free trade agreements (Jia Qinglin).