How did Keynes's idea of the reasons for the macro-economic instability
challenge the prevailing economic orthodoxy?
After 100 years of the industrialization era modern economics began to see a change and shift of ideas. These ideas were brought to the front by John Maynard Keynes, who in 1936 transformed much of the modern economics by a single book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Keynes also wrote other titles as well as A Tract on Monetary Reform (1923)' which was an attempt to secure a monetary policy instead of the gold standard.
Keynes (2002) believed that the stable economy of Britain was more desirable than the stable value of the pound on the foreign exchange. He argued against going back to the gold standards because he said it would effect British exports, as well as Britain's economy adversely, and so to publish his ideas Keynes wrote A Tract on Monetary Reform (1923)' which argued how a managed monetary system should be put in to place instead of the gold standard to stabilise the British economy.
However, due to the orthodox ideas, England went back to the gold standard and disaster struck. Many had remained ignorant to Keynes's ideas as he was not able to convince many as there was inadequate amount of solid evidence present.
Therefore he attempted to prove the orthodox theory of Says Law wrong and identify the connections between the gold standard the level of employment in Britain, by writing Treatise on money (1930)'.
However, yet again Keynes was not as successful as he hoped he would be. Treatise' had many flaws, and stimulated a lot of criticism, as he yet again did not fully explain his theories.
Nevertheless, this book did convey the some of the basics of his new theory...
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... As for the rate of interest, it depends on the desire to cash and the quantity of money available' (Fusfeld, 2002, p.135).
The basic theory of General Theory' was opposite to the old theory that the interest rate formed equality amongst savings and investment and that decrease in wages lead to full employment. Keynes argued that unlike orthodox economists who thought that reducing wages would lead to higher profits, in actual fact reducing wages would lead to a fall in demand for goods leading to unemployment.
Overall it took 100 years from industrialization for the emphasis to shift from the investor to the consumer.
In conclusion Keynes ideas challenged the orthodox reasons and at first due to the strength in the orthodox ideas Keynes was ignored but however, after the depression his ideas became accepted and due to changes the orthodox ideas began to crack.
Franklin D. Roosevelt, president of the united states from 1933 to 1945 (and the distant cousin of Theodore Roosevelt), was the first to convert to Keynes’s theories. He implemented massive public works programs to put people to work. Called the “New Deal”, an echo of Theodore Roosevelt’s square deal, it consisted of a series of programs from 1933 to 1938. As well as providing employment through massive works projects such as the Tennessee valley authority, which built dams to generate electricity. New deal programs provided emergency relief, reformed the banking system, and tried to invigorate agriculture and the economy. Many other programs were also put into place with were used to attemp...
Keynes ideas were very radical at the time, and Keynes was called a socialist in disguise. Keynes was not a socialist, he just wanted to make sure that the people had enough money to invest and help the economy along. As far as stressing extremes, Keynesian economics pushed for a “happy medium” where output and prices are constant, and there is no surplus in supply, but also no deficit. Supply Side economics emphasized the supply of goods and services. Supply Side economics supports higher taxes and less government spending to help economy.
Keynes and Hayek represent different options. Should we steer markets or set them free? “Which way should we choose, More bottom up or more top down?” (Fight of the Century). These questions reflect the opposite ways Keynes and Hayek address the economy. Keynes wants to “steer” the economy from the “top down.” From his understanding of the economy, Keynes theorizes that the market can be directed by those with the power to do so to accomplish goals leading to a prosperous economy. This is the basis in his approach to dealing with recessions where the government or central bank manipulates the economy. The other side is a free market from the “bottom up” on which Hayek stakes his claim. Instead of steering the economy, Hayek proposes to leave it alone. Do not try to control it, but let the market determine the interest rate and price level, as it eventually will, through supply and demand. In this way, control is not exerted downward, but reality is expressed from basic economic forces. Fundamentally, Keynes’s model focuses more on the spending and consumption aspects of GDP, and Hayek’s approach focuses more on the investing aspect which flows from saving. These are the options from which to choose. Keynes vs. Hayek, Short run vs. long run, controlled vs. free, top down vs. bottom up, each possibility has its negatives and positives. This debate is not wrapped up
Brian Domitrovic, PhD, Chairman of the Department of History at Sam Houston State university, stated in his article The Gold Standard: The Foundation of Our Economy’s Greatness that, “From the first full year that the constitution’s outline of the gold standard took effect, 1790, until 1913, the year the Federal Reserve came into existence and the serial dismantling of the gold standard began, the United States economy increased in size, in real terms, by just about 150-fold” (Should The United States Return To The Gold Standard?, 2013). This record of growth was so large that the United States economy was over twice as large as Germany, its closest rival. Domitrovic also appreciated the stability the gold standard provides if managed correctly because it limits inflation and slows rises in consumer prices. In addition, it limits the government’s ability to create money as the government can only print money if there is enough gold to back
John Maynard Keynes, British economist, journalist, was born on June 5th 1883, in Cambridge, England. His father, Dr. John Neville Keynes, was an economist and a philosopher. Keynes attended Eton and then Cambridge University. At first he studied Mathematics but then turned his attention to Economics when he was offered the job at the British treasurer after the First World War when the British economy was at pressure. A man who gained a modicum amount of wealth during 1919 to 1938, married to Lydia Lopokova in 1926 and passed away in April 21st, 1946. Keynes believed that price level has to be stabled in order to have a stabled economy, and that is only possible if interest rates go down when prices rise. He also believed that the market forces alone will not deliver full employment but boosting government spending (main force of the economy in Keynes theory) will aim in his theory full employment or close to that. He believes by Governments intervening and spending will finally stop recession, unemployment and most importantly depression. For spending will increase the aggregate demand of the economy.
John Maynard Keynes classical approach to economics and the business cycle has dominated society, especially the United States. His idea was that government intervention was necessary in a properly functioning economy. One economic author, John Edward King, claimed of the theory that:
I believe that it's’ important to use our constitution as a guiding tool to help appoint the correct people for the job.John Maynard Keynes was a British economist where he fundamentally changed the theory and practices of macroeconomics and economic policies of government. Although he was revolutionary most of his policies were controversial and used Keynesianism economic to get people to stay away from them . His approach to macroeconomic management was different since the previous traditional laissez-faire economists believed that an economy would automatically correct its imbalances and move toward a state of equilibrium, They expected the dynamics of supply and demand to help the economy adjust to recession and inflation without government action. Laissez-faire economics thus regarded layoffs, bankruptcies and downturns in the economy not as something to be avoided but as elements of a natural process that would eventually improve. However that was not the case for the great depression. Keynes also believed that a given level of demand in an economy would produce employment however he insisted that low employment during the depression resulted from inadequate
Regardless, in regards to applying Keynesian economic policies toward the Great Depression, Former Federal Reserve Governor Ben S. Bernanke said “You 're right, we did it. We 're very sorry. … we won 't do it again” (Federal Reserve Board, 2002). Other economic theory must be developed to address some of the shortcomings of the Keynesian economic
The gold standard is a monetary system in which the value of a nation’s currency is attached to the value of gold. In this system, gold can be exchanged for currency and currency can be exchanged for gold. During the nineteenth century, the major nations of the world switched to the gold standard, thereby replacing the previous system of bimetallism (a standard based on the values of both gold and silver). In 1821, Britain was the first nation to adopt the gold standard. At the time, Britain was the wealthiest and most powerful nation in the world. In order to facilitate international trade, other nations began following Britain’s example (Eichengreen 7). The change did not occur smoothly in every country. For example, after the United States adopted the gold standard in 1873, a politician named William Jennings Bryan led a movement to switch to a silver standard instead. At that time, silver was relatively cheap because an abundance of it had been discovered in the mines of the Western U.S. Bryan, an advocate for the rights of farmers and other laborers...
Alfred Marshall was born in Bermondsey, a London suburb, on 26 July 1842. He died at Balliol Croft, his Cambridge home of many years, on 13 July 1924 at the age of 81. Professor of Political Economy at the University of Cambridge from 1885 to 1908, he was the founder of the Cambridge School of Economics which rose to great eminence in the 1920s and 1930s: A.C. Pigou and J.M. Keynes, the most important figures in this development, were among his pupils. Marshall's magnum opus, the Principles of Economics was published in 1890 and went through eight editions in his lifetime. It was the most influential treatise of its era and was for many years the Bible of British economics, introducing many still-familiar concepts. Alfred Marshall is one of the most outstanding figures in the development of contemporary economics and his influence has been enormous. His most famous student, J. M. Keynes, wrote that;
My research of Classical Economics and Keynesian Economics has given me the opportunity to form an opinion on this greatly debated topic in economics. After researching this topic in great lengths, I have determined the Keynesian Economics far exceeds greatness for America compared to that of Classical Economics. I will begin my paper by first addressing my understanding of both economic theories, I will then compare and contrast both theories, and end my paper with my opinions on why I believe Keynesian Economics is what is best for America.
The theory of economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to policy. It is a method rather than a doctrine, an apparatus of the mind, a technique for thinking, which helps the possessor to draw correct conclusions. The ideas of economists and politicians, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist." (John Maynard Keynes, the General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money p 383)
Keynesian method and world-systems theory deserve special attention. It is Keynesianism that makes possible for the radical political economists to apply the bipolar model, centered on
Difficulties in Formulating Macroeconomic Policy Policy makers try to influence the behaviour of broad economic aggregates in order to improve the performance of the economy. The main macroeconomic objectives of policy are: a high and relatively stable level of employment; a stable general price level; a growing level of real income (economic growth); balance of payments equilibrium, and certain distributional aims. This essay will go through what these difficulties are and examine how these difficulties affect the policy maker when they attempt to formulate macroeconomic policy. It is difficult to provide a single decisive factor for policy evaluation as a change in political and/or economic circumstances may result in declared objectives being changed or reversed. Economists can give advice on the feasibility and desirability of policies designed to attain the ultimate targets, however, the ultimate responsibility lies with the policy maker.
Unlike Krugman, some renowned economists feel that the gold standard should be reinstated. Brian Domitrovic, PhD, Chairman of the Department of History at Sam Houston State University, stated in his article The Gold Standard: The Foundation of Our Economy’s Greatness that, “From the first full year that the constitution’s outline of the gold standard took effect, 1790, until 1913, the year the Federal Reserve came into existence and the serial dismantling of the gold standard began, the United States economy increased in size, in real terms, by just about 150-fold” (Should The United States Return To The Gold Standard?, 2013). This record of growth was so large that the United States’ economy was over twice as large as Germany’s, our closest rival. Domitrovic also appreciated the stability the gold standard provided, if managed correctly, because it limited inflation and slowed rises in consumer prices.