John Vasquez and Paul D. Senese in the 2008 Book “The Steps to War: An Empirical Study” outline a specific set of steps which as they say, outline ‘the steps to war’. These steps address the progression to conflict by determining the underlying cause of war. ...
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...rritory dispute. We can see from analyzing the Iraq – Iran conflict that the dispute regarding the Shatt al-Arab region that borders the Persian Gulf is without question the underlying cause or determinate of the eventual war between the two states. Each of the other five steps however increase the likelihood of the escalation from conflict to war. Similarly with Fearon’s Bargaining Model, we can see that without a credible commitment to peace and a means to ensure it, along with accurate information the steps to lasting peace is unlikely. However, I think that using one model, or the other only provides a portion of the information needed to derive an accurate and well thought out conclusion. While each theory has its strength, using both together bring about the most detailed and accurate conclusions in the determinants and likelihood of the escalation to war.
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