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economy recession as a global issue
how the 2008 recession affected the world
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Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The consumer price index is a measurement of the changes in price levels of the market basket for consumables in terms of services and goods purchased by households. It is a statistical estimate that is constructed with the use of sample prices of representative goods or services collected periodically. CPI is the benchmark guide for inflation used by economists to make adjustments on cost of living.
As the main GDP indicator, CPI determines the fluctuations in the interest rates which are determined by its stability. It is also important to note that CPI is swayed by many other factors such as food security, political environment and geographical factors such as floods and earthquakes among others.
When compared
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The surge did not last for long because of the near collapse of the world economy towards the end of the same year, 2008. The main measurement of the Australian dollar against other currencies is the Trade Weighted Index (TWI) which is weighted in accordance with the significance to trade flows in Australia. However, Australian dollar fluctuations against the US dollar are larger that the WTI. The reason behind is that TWI only concentrates on the rise and fall of the Australian dollar.
Trade - exports and imports
When talking of exports and imports, an economist looks at the trade balances as a measure of economic health of any government and the relationship with its trade partners. Of main concern is the trade deficit which is the current currency value of exports less the current currency value of imports. On average, trade should constitute a quarter of the economic activities in any country. However, this is not practical for many economies including the US because of its huge demand for goods.
While trade is the exchange of goods and services, this exchange plays a key role in an economy. In order to have good trade between countries, proper investment and trade policies must be
Trade is the most common form of transferring ownership of a product. The concepts are very simple, I give you something (a good or service) and you give me something (a good or service) in return, everyone is happy. However, trade is not limited to two individuals. There are trades that happen outside national borders and we refer to that as international trading. Before a country does international trading, they do research to understand the opportunity costs and marginal costs of their production versus another countries production. Doing this we can increase profit, decrease costs and improve overall trade efficiency. Currently, there are negotiations going on between 11 countries about making a trade agreement called the Trans-Pacific
Trade is essential to overcome the dollar gap that prevented foreign marketing of United States goods (Melanson and Mayers, 159). There are many economic issues which face the nation at this time. A recovery from World War II and the Korean War, a recession, a change in the political party of the president, and several other issues. Thus, this must be a time of strong economic leadership. The policies made and legislature passed must steer the United States through this apparent storm and give the nation a chance to rest from the hecticness of the first half of the century.
Since 1992, Canada has increased their amount of exports of goods year-in and year-out until slight downfalls in 2001 and 2002. However, between 1992 and 2000 they raised exports from $135 billion to $289 billion, an increase of 114%. Imports of goods also rose consistently over that nine year period from $128 billion to $244 billion. The key fact there though is that imports rose only 90% compared to a rise in exports of 114%. This has allowed Canada to maintain a very healthy trade balance, which has also risen consistently except for a few decreases in 1997, 1998, and 2002. They have not run a trade balance deficit on goods once since 1992.
Trade, of course, is only part of a larger network of relationships between our two countries. This network evolves in response to many complex influences, and exporters need to consider how our two countries' ever-expanding, ever-changing relationships will affect their activities. To take just a few examples:
...formula is based on an arithmetic mean of the price levels in the two selected cities. In order to calculate the index for the two cities examined, the average price of each item must first be calculated. The prices are then compared in each town to the average prices. There is still another element to the calculation of the CPI that we haven’t discussed just yet, and that is not every product in the survey is as important as the other. For example, the cost of a vehicle is more important in determining the index than the price of a loaf of bread. The weights have been chosen on the basis of research that indicates while there are certainly differences amongst the various national spending patterns; there are some average figures that most companies accept. The chart below indicates the sum of individual weights allocated to each item composing the index categories.
Economic indicators often affect and influence the value of a country's currency. The Trade Deficit, the Gross National Product (GNP), Industrial Production, the Unemployment Rate, and Business Inventories are examples of economic indicators. We will be dealing with four specific indicators: interest rate, inflation, unemployment, and employment growth, as well as Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Real GDP is so called because the effects of inflation and depreciation are accounted for in the figures. The state of the economy is important both on a micro and macroeconomic level.
There are very many different economic indicators that are used to analyze economic activity of a company, industry, country, or region. There are three different general trends (directions for prices or rates) in the economy. "Those with predictive value are leading indicators; those occurring at the same time as the related economic activity are coincident indicators; and those that only become apparent after the activity are lagging indicators. Examples are unemployment, housing starts, Consumer Price Index, industrial production, bankruptcies, GDP, stock market prices, money supply changes, and housing starts also called business indicators." (http://www.investorwords.com/1643/economic_indicator.html)
An economic indicator is a statistic of the current status of the economy. This can predict how the economy may perform in the future. Investors and other private or government organizations use this information as a tool to make business decisions. By gathering historical data about the economy and comparing it to current trends, one can compile a snapshot of economic fluctuations. The direction of an indicator may vary according to changes in the economy. The indicator can be leading, lagging, or coincident. Leading indicators are changes before the economy has recognized the changed. Lagging indicators do not change until a few quarters after the economy has change. Coincident indicators move at the same time as the economy (The Library of Congress, 2005). Some of the common indicators are GDP, Unemployment Rate, Inflation Rate, Capacity utilization, Auto sales, and Personal income. As the explanation of these six indicators will be use to forecast the future of the economy, the trend of these indicators will also be used to evaluate the economy's historical and future outcome.
“Macroeconomic indicators include economy-wide phenomena such as unemployment rates, national income, rates of growth, gross domestic product, inflation, and price levels” (Page & Stevens, 2005).
GDP is the most widely used index for economic measurement of development, implemented in almost every country. There are a number of indexes such as GNP/I, nominal GDP and real GDP that is calculated based on the GDP values, differentiating in adjustment for changes in market prices- inflation and deflation (Investopedia. 2015.), whether to take national ownership of business into consideration which GDP does not (Texas A&M University.
The U.S. trade deficit has risen more or less steadily since 1992. In the second quarter of 2004, the trade deficit relative to GDP surpassed the 5 percent mark for the first time. Many economists already considered trade deficits above 4 percent of GDP dangerously high. The fear is that continued growth in this external imbalance of the U.S. economy will ultimately spook overseas investors. http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2004/09/b193700.html
...es currently does possess an enormous trade deficit, but the importance of this problem and the best means of solving it is a sharply debated issue. Clearly, while a return to protectionist policy would have some positive effects in the short run, it ultimately would undue the enormous growth that free international trade has caused for the US economy. The more moderate approach, of increasing domestic capital, reducing reliance upon foreign money and goods, and reducing government spending, deals with the situation much more effectively. A deficit is often times natural, especially in a wealthy country with a very strong economy, such as the US. Using these techniques, the negative aspects of the deficit can be overcome, while still ensuring the efficiency and affectivity of a liberal international trade system.
All nations can get the benefits of free trade by being specialized in producing goods they have a comparative advantage and then trade them with goods produced by other nations in the world. This is evidenced by comparative advantage theory. Trade depends on many factors, country's history, institution, size and. geographical position and many more. Also, the countries put trade barriers for the exchange of their goods and services with other nations in order to protect their own company from foreign competition, or to protect consumers from undesirable products, or sometimes it may be inadvertent.
In an economy, aggregate demand (AD) accounts for the total expenditure on goods and services. It has five constituents; Consumer expenditure (C), Investment expenditure (I), Government expenditure (G), Export expenditure (X) and import expenditure (M), This gives us: AD= C+I+G+X-M. Aggregate supply (AS) on the other hand is the total supply of goods and services in the economy. Increasing AD and decreasing AS both cause demand-pull and cost-push inflation respectively. Demand pull inflation occurs when aggregate demand (AD) continuously rises, detailed in Figure 1. The AD curve continuously shifts to the right, as demand continuously increases, from point a to b to c. This consequently causes an increase in the price level of goods and services. As prices rise, costs of production also increase, causing producers to reduce output (a decrease in aggregate supply (AS)), shifting the AS curve to the left and leading to yet another increase in prices, (t...
Inflation is one of the most important economic issues in the world. It can be defined as the price of goods and services rising over monthly or yearly. Inflation leads to a decline in the value of money, it means that we cannot buy something at a price that same as before. This situation will increase our cost of living.