The Best Economic Environment for Inflation Targeting

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Introduction: In the past two decades, a multitude of countries, including Canada and Australia have instituted “explicit inflation targeting” (Svensson, 1996, p.1) for fear of the high cost of “volatile inflation” (Freedman&Laxton, 2009, p. 6).Mishkin offered the definition of inflation targeting (IT). It is a monetary policy strategy intended to achieve price stability within a specific range (Mishkin,2000).As is concisely demonstrated by Mishkin, IT “establishes a transparent and credible commitment” to the precision of the future “numerical objective”(Mishkin,2008).Nonetheless, it is not a prudential policy. It is prone to encounter the predicament of “long and variable lags” of “implementing and monitoring” the policy (Svensson, 1996, p.2). Under current circumstances, IT is facing the pressure of the economic crisis. It goes a step further to aggravate the intricacy of the conduct of IT (Mishkin, 2008). Two distinctive categories of countries have been incorporated in this paper, industrialized countries and emerging-market countries. With the aim of illustrating the best economic environment for IT, I will resort to methods of analysis, definition, exemplification, comparison &contrast, etc. In this paper, I will argue that inflation targeting operates best in the economic environment where independent central banking(CB), strong fiscal position, sound financial system and flexible exchange rate are integrated. Frederic Mishkin(2000) stated precisely what IT is in his paper, “Inflation targeting is a monetary-policy strategy that encompasses five main components”:(i) the public announcement of medium-term numerical objectives for inflation;(ii)an institutional commitment to price stability as the primary goal of mon... ... middle of paper ... ...eransar/the-6th-norges-bank-monetary-policy-conference/programme/ Inflation targeting: The New Zealand Experience and Some Lessons(2006) http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/speeches/2361827.html Inflation Targeting at 20: Achievements and Challenges, Scott Roger, IMF, Discussant: Rania A. Al-Mashat, Central Bank of Egypt IAS 107 Intermediate Macroeconomics March 17, 2011 Inflation Lecture Cleaned-Up Transcript http://delong.typepad.com/berkeley_econ_101b_spring/2011/04/ias-107-intermediate-macroeconomics-march-17-2011-inflation-lecture-cleaned-up-transcript.html Nelson H.Barbosa-Filho 2008 Inflation targeting in Brazil: 1996-2006 p139-157 Beyond Inflation targeting Assessing the impacts and policy alternatives Athanasios Orphanides 2009 Reflections on inflation targeting at the 6th Norges Bank Monetary Policy Conference “Inflation targeting twenty years on”
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