Summary Of The 2004 Boxing Day Tsunami

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Society is increasingly subjected to predictions on subjects as diverse as economic development, finance, fashion and even relationships. For instance, Economists forecast the gross domestic product of countries; Financial Analysts model the likely increase in earnings per share of a company based on potential sales of future products; Fashion forecasters predict how the mood of consumers determine the styles for next season’s haute couture collections; and websites encourage a person to input data about them self and an algorithm tries to predict their most suitable partner.

The quotation from Lao Tzu assumes that prediction and knowledge are mutually exclusive. Using the areas of knowledge of natural sciences and human sciences, this …show more content…

The questions arise: Is it reasonable to expect that over time increased knowledge has led to improved predictions? Or, is it more reasonable that if one thinks they know, they cease to predict?
Natural Sciences will be considered regarding knowledgeable predictions. Biology, Chemistry, Physics all propose and develop theories that predict whether certain experiments and concepts will establish new knowledge. As an IB geography student the syllabus involves forecasting and prediction when learning about hazards and predicting disasters. This led to me researching the 2004 Boxing Day …show more content…

The Israeli unit used IT applications to collect and analyse data in order to obtain information. The police acted on that information, raiding several homes in Sydney. (The Guardian Australian Edition, 2018)
NSW Police Commissioner Mick Fuller quotes, “With terrorism you can’t wait, you can’t wait to put the whole puzzle together, you do have to go early because if you get it wrong the consequences are severe.” (ABC News, 2017) This statement further recognises the relationship between intuition and reasoning in predicting extreme human behaviour.
This threat in Sydney was planned by a group of people. Predicting and detecting group activity is less difficult than predicting the actions of an individual. “A terrorist group is fundamentally a social system” (Ze Li & Co, 2018). Studies have been made of terrorist groups and models have been built of the activity status of these groups. The predictive accuracy of each model is also being

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