Monetary Theory: Theoretical Approaches To Devaluation

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THEORETICAL APPROACHES TO DEVALUATION As stated by Cooper (1971), the discussions of the effects devaluation on economy’s output and balance of payments was explained by three approaches: elasticities approach, income/absorption approach and monetary approach. Elasticities Approach: - This approach emphasis on the substitution between goods, both in consumption and production, induced by the relative price changes brought by devaluation. According to Sugman (2005), the model was initially developed by Alfred Marshall and Abba-Lerner and later familiarized by Joan Robinson (1937). As described by Borena (2013), the model is based on some simplifying assumptions: i) it is a partial equilibrium analysis- it holds everything constant except …show more content…

Whiteman, K.Frekel and H.Johnson (Carbaugh, 1995). It explains what money market equilibrium implies for balance of payment equilibrium. The argument of this approach is that balance of payment disequilibrium involves inflow or outflow of money across nations and should be treated as monetary phenomena and calls for the application of tools and concepts of monetary theory. This approach can be explained in terms of fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. Given a fixed exchange rate, the relationship between the demand and supply of nominal money is a crucial determinants trade balance. Disequilibrium in trade balance can be manifested through money market disequilibrium. This approach assumes that for any nation over a long run, the demand for money as a stock is stable and linearly depends on real income. That …show more content…

Therefore, change in foreign currency reserve (R) can restore or maintain money market equilibrium given that exchange rate is fixed. As cooper (1972) explained, these three approach are complementary rather than competitive and has its own weakness and strength. The elasticity approach is most suitable for small size market economies and if there is underutilization of full capacity. While the absorption approach takes this weakness in to account and focused on total output and income effect of devaluation. But it neglects the monetary effects of devaluation. EMPIRICAL LITERATURE There are different findings about the impact of devaluation on output and employment. Some empirical studies showed that devaluation is contractionary while others shows it is expansionary in some countries. Still some researchers showed the neutral impact and others found a mixed result. After Bretton Woods’s conference, international organizations like International Monetary Fund and World Bank suggested developing countries to adopt the Structural Adjustment Program in which countries are expected to liberalize their external sector. Some researchers like Narayam (2007) supported this idea in their study on

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