Evaluating the Impact of the Implementation of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
analytical Essay
1138 words
PEELING THE ONION: RANDOM THOUGHTS ON A FEDERAL POLICY’S IMPLEMENTATION
While clearing some old files off my computer, I came across a letter from Congressional Budget Office Director Douglas W. Elmendorf that was sent to Senator Judd Gregg (R-NH, who serves as the ranking member of the Senate’s Committee on the Budget), specifically outlining the CBO’s opinion of the economic impact of the president’s “Stimulus Plan” (Congressional Budget Office. 2009). Reading this got me to wondering if it was yet too early to begin to justly evaluate the impact of the implementation of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA).
As I read, and then reread this letter, my take on the subject broadened a bit. It also occurred to me how many layers must be peeled away before relevant information of any substance may be found on the topic. In consideration of the letter’s overall tone of “either this or that” will likely occur, it seems safe to say that one of the lead agencies involved in the implementation of the most significant and rapid expansion of government debt in history is, at best, only able to say “we hope so”.
In particular, Elmendorf notes:
Short-Term:
• There is no certainty of outcome within the economist community as spending of this magnitude is rarely, if ever, seen.
• In the short run, the stimulus legislation would likely “…raise GDP and increase employment by adding to aggregate demand and thereby boosting the utilization of labor and capital that would otherwise be unused because the economy is in recession.”
Long Term:
• The outcome will ultimately be “determined by the stock of productive capital, the supply of labor, and
productivity.”
• “…the principal channel for this ...
... middle of paper ...
...c Advisers. 2009. The Economic Impact of The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act Of 2009: First Quarterly Report. September 10. http://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/CEA_ARRA_Report_Final.pdf..
Dinan, Stephen. 2009. CBO: Obama stimulus harmful over long haul. Washington Post. February 4. http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/feb/04/cbo-obama-stimulus-harmful-over-long-haul
Elmendorf, Douglas. 2009. Personal Letter To US Senator Judd Gregg. February 11. Downloaded File/Original Source Unknown. CBO Stimulus Effect 2-09.pdf.
Gross, Daniel. 2009. The $800 Billion Deception. Slate. October 12. http://www.slate.com/id/2232185
Talk Radio News Service. 2009. Boehner Claims Recovery Act Played No Role In Lowering Unemployment. December 4. http://talkradionews.com/2009/12/boehner-denies-that-recovery-act-played-role-in-lowering-unemployment
In this essay, the author
- Opines that there is no certainty of outcome within the economist community as spending of this magnitude is rarely, if ever, seen.
- Opines that the stimulus legislation would raise gdp and increase employment by adding to aggregate demand and thereby boosting the utilization of labor and capital that would otherwise be unused because the economy is in recession.
- Opines that the outcome will ultimately be determined by the stock of productive capital, the supply of labor, and summary:
- Opines that there is no certainty of outcome within the economist community as spending of this magnitude is rarely, if ever, seen.
- Opines that the stimulus legislation would raise gdp and increase employment by adding to aggregate demand and thereby boosting the utilization of labor and capital that would otherwise be unused because the economy is in recession.
- Opines that the outcome will ultimately be determined by the stock of productive capital, the supply of labor, and summary:
- Explains that the principal channel for this effect is that legislation would result in an increase in government debt.
- Analyzes how mr. elmendorf acknowledges a fundamental shift in the debt structure of our nation should cbo's assessment be accurate.
- Explains that boehner denies that the recovery act played no role in lowering unemployment.
- Analyzes the letter from congressional budget office director douglas w. elmendorf to senator judd gregg, who serves as the ranking member of the senate's committee on the budget.
- Analyzes how director elmendorf's letter lends credence to an article published in the washington post.
- Cites becker, gary, & murphy's article, "no stimulus free lunch". the council of economic advisers. the economic impact of the american recovery and reinvestment act of 2009.
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288 wordsRead More