Deutsche Bank Case Study

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Deutsche Bank’s Fixed Income Research Group was an internal R&D department for fixed income instruments. One of the group’s primary activities was relative-value. Relative-value groups look for yield curve trades to pitch to clients as well as for their proprietary trading desk. Their mandate was to search for untapped value across bond markets and interest rate derivatives. For the group, one way to find relative-value trades was to compare the prices of traded securities against the prices that the group thought the securities should trade at. The group developed their own proprietary yield-curve model, which was based on three factors: inflation, output gaps, and short rates. After estimating the variables of the three-factor model, the …show more content…

From that perspective, if our model’s rates were lower than Deutsche Bank’s rates, the bond was underpriced in the market; therefore we would recommend buying the bond. This would allow investors to buy at a bargain since they would be paying less than what the bond is actually worth. Based on our results, we recommend that investors purchase the bonds with the maturities of three through nine years and the bond with a maturity of fifteen years. All of these bonds are underpriced in the market and should be purchased to take advantage of the arbitrage opportunities. We also recommend that investors should sell the bonds with maturities of one, twenty, and twenty-five years because their prices were greater than Deutsche Bank’s prices, thus making them overpriced in the market. The bonds with a two-year and ten-year maturities are, by design, equally priced between the two methods, so, nothing should be done with them. These are the findings that our group compiled and further information on our methodology, results, and recommendations will be provided in the paragraphs …show more content…

They do this by taking into account many factors, such as inflation, output gaps, and short rates. This allows Deustche Bank to calculate what we call the “true value” because this should give them the correct spot rates for the bonds. We then calculate our own spot rates using bootstrapping, which effectively gives us the market rate. This allows us to identify arbitrage opportunities. If we find that our spot rate is higher (lower) than the Deustche rate, we can take advantage of this arbitrage opportunity because the bond is underpriced

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