Dawson Lumber Company Limited

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Objective

National Bank of Canada ("NBC" or "the Bank") is tasked with the decision to review Dawson Lumber Company Limited's ("Dawson") request for an increase in its line of credit up to the amount of $10.8mm. Dawson intends to finance inventory and receivables with the line of credit. NBC must remain cognizant of the competitive landscape of the lumber industry and assess whether a focus on the retail segment is beneficial to Dawson's strategic plan. Given that Dawson is one of the region's largest borrowers, NBC must be careful in how it manages this relationship. The Bank cannot afford to turn away NBC's business. However, extending Dawson additional credit may increase Dawson's default risk and jeopardize the potential for NBC to retrieve the $4.2mm term loan it is already owed.

Industry Analysis

Canadian Lumber Industry Analysis

The Canadian lumber industry can be seen as very unattractive at best. Expected oversupply of Canadian lumber, increased competition in the industry, and greater buyer power, have put downward pressure on prices, adversely affecting the profitability of producers.

With an increase in the number of many small and medium lumber producers, competing to sell a commoditized product, the industry has become very fragmented. The combination of these factors and the slow industry growth in recent years has led to a high degree of rivalry among producers, resulting in a fall in lumber prices. As lumber producers were forced to compete on price, buyers reaped the benefits. The high level of buyers' information and their low switching cost has added to their high negotiation power relative to the producers. Restrictive governmental actions along with the high power of buyers, and high degree o...

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...ustments will improve Dawson's cash position and will give it the flexibility to both take advantage of market opportunities and provide for unforeseen circumstances thereby reducing its risk. Also, considering that the terms are more lenient than the industry averages, it will allow Dawson to maintain its existing customer relationships by offering more favourable credit terms and higher inventory stock than its competitors.

At the same time, Dawson should be pursuing opportunities to sell the retail component of its business. NBC's investment bank could collaborate on this objective. The proceeds resulting from this transaction as well as improvements to its cash position could be destined to repay the term loan that Dawson has with NBC, issue dividends, and or contribute to the improvements, suggested earlier, to Dawson's operations and organizational structure.

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