Sub-Prime Mortgage: The Snowball Effect
Intermediate Macroeconomics
Sub-prime mortgages were a lucrative new market idea, pushed by the government, executed by the lending institutions, in order to provide everyone the American Dream. During the expanding economy, this dream became a reality—untested and unchecked—as low interest rates fueled the desire of investors to make dreams come true! Ultimately, the vicissitudes of the economy turned downward and the snowball effect began while financial sectors and investors scrambled to catch the falling knife. While history is being written this very day and hindsight is 20/20, we can reflect on the ideologies and policies that brought forth the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression.
Based on this case study, it is clear that a plethora of reasons surrounding the U.S housing market led to the financial crisis, and consequently, the Great Recession of 2007. Most notable among the factors were subprime mortgage lending by mortgage lenders, poor risk management and investment choices by financial institutions and banks, and the ancillary agencies that were ready to transfer credit risk to other parties in order to make the most profit for themselves.
In order to solve the problems that America faces, a brief overview of their origin is necessary. Misplaced confidence in the continuous bright future of home prices and the attempts of lenders to profit in every way possible were major causes of the current crisis. Lenders often made mortgage contracts with little consideration for the ability of the recipient to repay. They were able to do this with little risk for themselves because these loans were bundled and sold off to investors. Furthermore, the demand for loans with more flexible standards was tolerated by the lenders because the lenders believed, just as those demanding the loans did, that the increase in home prices had no foreseeable end (Shiller 50). Many people saw an opportunity to make money off of subprime and adjustable-rate mortgages, and the fantasy of endless price increases overcame reasonable judgment.
The subprime mortgage crisis is an ongoing real estate crisis and financial crisis triggered by a dramatic rise in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the United States, with major adverse consequences for banks and financial markets around the globe. The crisis, which has its roots in the closing years of the 20th century, became apparent in 2007 and has exposed pervasive weaknesses in financial industry regulation and the global financial system. The collapse of the US housing market has had a devastating effect on the nation, where the housing price boom was particularly pronounced, and the subsequent decline has been particularly disastrous. Hundreds of thousands of working and middle class citizens are in danger of losing their homes. The U.S. Home Loan Bank Act launched the government into a long-range program to reform and strengthen the savings and loan institutions. The Home Owners Loan Act provided emergency relief to homeowners and to mortgage-lending institutions. Neither of these measures had been effective, however, in providing an adequate stimulus to residential construction. Nor had they provided a means for encouraging the flow of loans into residential building from other classes of lending institutions. In 1934, the administration and Congress turned their attention to the problem of stimulating employment in residential construction. The National Housing Act of 1934 authorized the establishment of a system of mortgage insurance under the Federal Housing Administration. To achieve its objective of stimulating employment, Federal insurance was authorized of short-term loans for home repair and improvement. This insurance was offered free on any loan made by any qualified lending institution for any hom...
In the early 2000’s the housing market boomed, real estate was a hot investment and everyone was looking to buy a home. However not everyone can afford a home and a majority of people were forced to take out a mortgage to purchase real estate. During the housing boom banks were supplying subprime loans and upping the risk in the real estate market. These loans were not only risky but irresponsible on the part of the banks’ lending them, and although individuals receiving the loans thought they were being helped at the time, these loans were a major reason why so many people their homes, almost crippling toe U.S economy as a whole.
It can be argued that the economic hardships of the great recession began when interest rates were lowered by the Federal Reserve. This caused a bubble in the housing market. Housing prices plummeted, home prices plummeted, then thousands of borrowers could no longer afford to pay on their loans (Koba, 2011). The bubble forced banks to give out homes loans with unreasonably high risk rates. The response of the banks caused a decline in the amount of houses purchased and “a crisis involving mortgage loans and the financial securities built on them” (McConnell, 2012 p.479). The effect on the economy was catastrophic and caused a “pandemic” of foreclosures that effected tens of thousands home owners across the U.S. (Scaliger, 2013). The debt burden eventually became unsustainable and the U.S. crisis deepened as the long-term effect on bank loans would affect not only the housing market, but also the job market.
By irresponsibly lending mortgages to “subprime buyers” for the past three years, banks had created a potentially huge problem if homeowners started defaulting on their mortgages. Banks sold these mortgages, along with their risk of default, to bigger banks that pooled mortgages around America into one big investment. Pooling mortgages was designed to reduce the risk of an single individual defaulting on their mortgage. A majority of people were able to pay their mortgages back, only a small percentage would default, making pooled mortgages a profitable investment. Mortgages can only be pooled if their risks are interpreted as uncorrelated. Big banks claimed that the United States housing market is uncorrelated and housing values would fluctuate independent one another in different housing markets. Large banks went onto sell pooled mortgage debts to inve...
The first major problem that led to the foreclosure crisis has to do with the availability of loans for housing. While laws such as the 1982 Alternative Mortgage Transitions Parity Act (AMTPA) and the CRA...
Foreclosure is a dreadful aspect of home-owning. The American foreclosure crisis, and its subsequent economic recession, was caused by lateral misguidance on part of private banks, the federal government, and by the millions of people who purchased their homes on credit. Over 900,000 foreclosures have occurred in California alone, making its foreclosure rate the largest and most formidable; as a result of the housing downturn, private banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo succumbed to bankruptcy, as the toxic assets they possessed lie curdled and menacing. Stocks tumbled as confidence in our financial system crashed; millions of people lost their jobs in the course of one petrifying year. The lending process was halted, effectively stalling the crediting and lending system that has shaped American consumerism habits since the 1950s.
The subprime mortgage crisis was a contributor to the decline of the internal structure of the city. One of the more significant effects occurred when banks financed the sale of residential property with very low mortgage rates (Ashton, 2010). This encouraged many people to buy larger houses that they could otherwise afford. Houses were bought in a time of prosperity with no thought that perhaps this could and would change in the future. Later, the banks increased their mortgage rates on these residential properties, or introduced previously hidden fees (Newman & Wyly, 2004). This produced financial hardship resulting in the home owner's inability to pay a mortgage, ultimately causing the dereliction of neighbourhoods as people would simply vacate what had been their family homes, since they owed more on their houses then they were actually worth. Factors that predicted a greater foreclosure rate included the following: loans for homes in poorer areas, loans with a higher loan to value ratio, and loans with higher interest rates (U.S. GAO, 1997). Unfortunately, this resulted in many houses and neighbourhoods that were once vibrant and developing to become empty and deserted. Communities and neighbourhoods were no longer the safe family areas that they had once been. Increasing numbers of residential properties became deserted as the population in these neighbourhoods continued to decline. The large number of vacant houses and entire neighbourhoods allowed people who could not afford houses to live in these abandoned houses illegally. These squatters did not maintain the properties since they were not property owners. This resulted in further decline and ruin of the communities.