market trends

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Recommended: monetary and fiscal policies during the great recession

GDP and Market Trends

The current prospects of the gross domestic product are encouraging. GDP is on the rise at a staggering rate. As stated by the commerce department “economic growth surged in the first quarter at its fastest pace in more then two years.” GDP has been on a comeback with a vengeance, coming in at a 5.8 annual percent a full point higher then expected economic analyst are enthusiastic of the rest of the year.
Corporate America is also enjoying the boost in the economy with 86% of the S&P 500 companies coming in even or above wall streets forecast for the first quarter.
Although economic growth is surging it is not expected to keep at its current pace. In one strategist’s opinion (Ned Riley) “ In the short term the market should flourish, then very sluggish economic progress.” Regardless of the speed of the expansion, it is all but inevitable throughout 2002. With this rapid expansion comes the chance of a double dip, sliding back into a recession, but according to James Cooper and Kathleen Madigan, writers for Business Week, write “that there is no danger of a second recession.”
With GDP on the rise, the surging economic activity, the FED lowering interest rates, and charts of the business and economic cycles I believe that we are on the upside of the recession and coming out strong. With the factors that are in place the market markets rise should slow but it will continue.

Economic Factors, Indicators and Forcast

Interest rates have been dropped to historically low levels to help bring the economy out of recession, and is having a great impact on the economy as a whole. With lowered in interest more people will be taking out loans and spending money they would not have with the previous interest rates. This puts a boost in the economy by putting in extra money, which people will then spend on goods and services with becomes income for others which then leads to more demand for products, then more manufacturing, and eventually the whole economy is lifted from lower interest rates… or at least this is the plan.
All of these indicators say to me that the economy is coming out of the recession with strong force, and it may not continue its current speed of expansion but I believe that unless there is an extreme event the economy should continue to recover and grow at a normal rate.

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