Assessment of Households' Vulnerability to Food Insecurity and Determinant Factors in Developning Countries: The Case of Ethiopia

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Empirical findings show that access to adequate and sufficient food in developing countries is unstable, suggesting that whether a household or individual is food secure at any point in time is best thought of in a dynamic sense. Yet the more widely used food security analysis methods mainly consider current access to food, failing to provide policy makers with forward‐looking information.

Concurrently, in most countries in Sub-Saharan Africa in general and in Ethiopia in particular, households’ capacity to manage risks is especially low due to multiple stressors coupled with a poor asset base making them particularly vulnerable to food insecurity. In order to reduce the threat of future food insecurity, policy design should address the uncertainty that households face alongside their risk‐management options through dynamic analysis.

The main objective of this study is therefore to assess vulnerability of households to food insecurity among two districts in southern Ethiopia. The study also aims to investigate determinants of vulnerability to food insecurity. Building on recent methodologies in risk management, the study will analyse vulnerability in dynamic approach using both cross-sectional and panel data collected over two phase. Determinants of vulnerability to food insecurity will be analysed using rigorous multinomial regression modeling.

It is hoped that the output of this study will improve both policy and methodological practices in that it is explicitly dynamic and forward-looking. Thus, it examines food insecurity as ex ante, rather than an ex post outcome. Moreover, the analysis will be carried out in a stochastic framework and can therefore fully consider the uncertainties associated with future food insecu...

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...up of the report follows that of standard scientific paper.

Expected outputs

 Households' socio-economic and demographic profile in the sample districts will be documented

 Households' food security status in the tho sample districts will be identified

 Chronic and transient food insecure households will be identified and determinants of the movement in and out of chronic level of food insecurity will be determined

 Determinants of households' vulnerability to food insecurity will be identified and communicated to concerned officials at local, national and international levels for policy action

 Methodology on assessment of vulnerability to food insecurity will be advanced and results will be presented at various panels, forums and workshops

 Findings of the study will be published in internationally reputed journal for circulation

References

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