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Explain the importance of risk analysis in investement decision
Explain the importance of risk analysis in investement decision
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act purpose
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The financial crisis of 2008 was estimated to be the most dangerous since the Great Depression of the 1930s (The Financial Crisis, 2009). The catalyst was the 2007 bubble burst of the housing market, which spread quickly to the US financial sector and ultimately affected the global economy. The American auto industry was devastated by this crisis. Detroit’s big three companies, Ford, Chrysler, and GM, had their debt problems exposed as a result. Increased debt and lower cash flows forced the automotive giants to seek solutions that would allow them to remain a viable entity in the coming years. The ripple effect of the automotive meltdown moved to the surrounding communities. Detroit’s communities were hit very hard. These communities are heavily reliant on the automotive and the complementary raw materials produced. When the big three were in an insolvent situation, Detroit’s communities began to crumble. This led Detroit to declare bankruptcy on July 18, 2013 ("Key Dates in," 2014). As domestic problems continued to manifest, they spilled over into global communities. A global recession began to occur by the end of 2008. At the end of 2008, the Dow Jones value had decreased by 33.8%, and China, Germany, and Japan were locked in recession. To help stimulate the American and world economies, the US Government passed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act 2009. This economic stimulus package was created to restore economic growth and trust in the financial industry (Berk & DeMarzo, 2011). The assessment will evaluate how the Act’s allowance for accelerating bonus depreciation can impact a security’s value. The assessment will further address how companies can use provisions of this Act to assist with optimizing a security's risk. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) will be used to evaluate common risk shared by all securities in the market. The 2008 global financial crisis illustrates the power of market risk. References: A giant falls. (2009, June 4). The Economist. Retrieved from http://www.economist.com/node/13782942 Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2011). Corporate finance: The core, second edition. (2nd ed.). Boston, MA: Prentice Hall. Capital asset pricing model. (n.d.). Retrieved from http://www.financeformulas.net/Capital-Asset-Pricing-Model.html Key dates in Detroit's bankruptcy. (2014, February 3). Detroit Free Press. Retrieved from http://www.freep.com/article/20130912/news01/309120122/detroit-bankruptcy-hearings-date-schedule-rhodes The financial crisis of 2008: Year in review 2008. (2009). Encyclopaedia Britannica. Retrieved from http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1484264/The-Financial-Crisis-of-2008-Year-In-Review-2008
This paper will focus on the future of the U.S. Automobile industry as the United States recovers from the worst recession we have experienced in the past 75 years. I will provide information on the following topics pertaining to the U.S. automobile industry:
The financial crisis of 2007–2008 is considered by many economists the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. This crisis resulted in the threat of total collapse of large financial institutions, the bailout of banks by national governments, and downturns in stock markets around the world. The crisis led to a series of events including: the 2008–2012 global recessions and the European sovereign-debt crisis. The reasons of this financial crisis are argued by economists. The performance of the Federal Reserve becomes a focal point in this argument.
Two major car companies, General Motors (GM) and Chrysler, went bankrupt during the Great Recession. The Government had to make a choice; to get involved with helping them, which would help the economy, or let them fight for themselves. Both choices would leave some American citizens mad at the government. The Government decided to help them by establishing the Auto Bailout along with other programs like TARP. Although some think the Auto Bailout didn’t help small supplier companies, it was the right move for the government to take because it helped stop our economy from going further into a depression.
Since being founded, America became a capitalist society. Being a capitalist society obtains luxurious benefits and rather harsh consequences if gone bad. In a capitalist society people must buy products and spend money to keep the economy balanced, but once those people stop spending money, the economy goes off balance and the nation enters a recession. Once a recession drastically takes a downturn, the nation enters what is known as a depression. In 2008 America entered a recession and its consequences were severe enough for some people, such as President Barack Obama, to compare the recent crisis to the world’s darkest economic depression in history, the Great Depression. Although the Great Depression and the Great Recession of 2008 hold similarities and differences between the stock market and government spending, political issues, lifestyle changes, and wealth distribution, the Great Depression proved far more detrimental consequences than the Recession.
Market crashes are not a new phenomenon but the most disturbing fact about the financial crisis of 2008, was that it was self-inflicted. What started as a credit crunch during the early 2006, turned into a fully-blown recession by mid-2008.The world’s financial system received a huge shock in September 2008, with the collapse of The Lehman Brothers, one of the biggest global investment banks [3]. The Global Financial Crisis of 2008, was undoubtedly the worst economic slump since the Great Depression of 1930. While the bankers and financers hold the responsibility for the global economic turmoil, the business schools have also, being partially responsible, faced criticism.
Market crashes are nearly as old as the invention of money itself. But, as Gillian Tett underlines in Fool’s Gold, “the latest financial crisis stands out due to its sheer size”. Economists estimate total losses could sum up to $2000 to $4000 billion, a number surprisingly not dissimilar to the British Gross Domestic Product. In its post-mortem, the self-inflicted disaster has commonly brought to light the question: “Did bankers, regulators and rating agencies fail to see the flaws, or did they fail to care?” Importantly, it has also created a hunt for scapegoats and quick fixes.
Achieving world class business performance is a major challenge in today’s society. Manufacturing companies continue to face increased competition and globalization from its competitors. (1, p. 148). The automotive industry is one of the most volatile manufacturing industries that we have, which was evident in the 2008 – 2010 automotive industry crisis. (2) This global financial downturn served notice to the American automotive manufactures to raise the bar, in order to achieve word class business performance. General Motors, one of the country’s largest automotive manufactures, had to receive a government bailout to survive. During this time many with the corporation asked themselves, if we were a world class business, would we be facing this pending crisis. The answer was a resounding “NO”. General Motors has come out of bankruptcy and is focused on being a world-class business organization.
What caused the Great Recession that lasted from December 2007 to June 2009 in the United States? The United States a country with abundance of resources from jobs, education, money and power went from one day of economic balance to the next suffering major dimensions crisis. According to the Economic Policy Institute, it all began in 2007 from the credit crisis, which resulted in an 8 trillion dollar housing bubble (n.d.). This said by Economist analysts to attributed to the collapse in the United States. Even today, strong debates continue over major issues caused by the Great Recession in part over the accommodative federal monetary and fiscal policy (Economic Policy Institute, 2013). The Great Recession of 2007 – 2009 enlarges the longest financial crisis since the Great Depression of 1929 – 1932 that damaged the economy.
Since the horrific attacks on the United States on Sept 11th, the nation’s economy has greatly dropped into a recession, although the economy was already in trouble before Sept. 11th. Due to this incident and all the effects it has caused, it is right to blame this recession on the terrorist attacks of Sept 11th.
The "subprime crises" was one of the most significant financial events since the Great Depression and definitely left a mark upon the country as we remain upon a steady path towards recovering fully. The financial crisis of 2008, became a defining moment within the infrastructure of the US financial system and its need for restructuring. One of the main moments that alerted the global economy of our declining state was the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on Sunday, September 14, 2008 and after this the economy began spreading as companies and individuals were struggling to find a way around this crisis. (Murphy, 2008) The US banking sector was first hit with a crisis amongst liquidity and declining world stock markets as well. The subprime mortgage crisis was characterized by a decrease within the housing market due to excessive individuals and corporate debt along with risky lending and borrowing practices. Over time, the market apparently began displaying more weaknesses as the global financial system was being affected. With this being said, this brings into question about who is actually to assume blame for this financial fiasco. It is extremely hard to just assign blame to one individual party as there were many different factors at work here. This paper will analyze how the stakeholders created a financial disaster and did nothing to prevent it as the credit rating agencies created an amount of turmoil due to their unethical decisions and costly mistakes.
The financial crisis of 2008 was the worst economic downturn in history since the Great Depression of 1929. There were, not only domestic implications, but there were massive international implications as well. Unfortunately, the crisis didn’t overnight, but had been in the workings since the late 1990’s when the financial system started to deregulate. The common denominator connecting the reasons the market crashed in 2008 had to do with sub-prime mortgages. Sub-prime mortgages affected institutional banks, borrowers and eventually lead to monetary changes in the U.S Government.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is an ex ante concept, which is built on the portfolio theory established by Markowitz (Bhatnagar and Ramlogan 2012). It enhances the understanding of elements of asset prices, specifically the linear relationship between risk and expected return (Perold 2004). The direct correlation between risk and return is well defined by the security market line (SML), where market risk of an asset is associated with the return and risk of the market along with the risk free rate to estimate expected return on an asset (Watson and Head 1998 cited in Laubscher 2002).
Brealey, Richard A., Marcus, Alan J., Myers, Stewart C. 1999, Fundamentals of Corporate Finance, 2nd edn, Craig S. Beytien, USA.
Block, S. B., & Hirt, G. A. (2005). Foundations of financial management. (11th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.
Warwick J. McKibbin, and Andrew Stoeckel. “The Global Financial Crisis: Causes and Consequences.” Lowy Institute for International Policy 2.09 (2009): 1. PDF file.