Voting in America

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Voting has not always been as easy as it is today. It is interesting to examine how far America has progressed in its process of allowing different types of people to be able to vote. Voting was once aimed at a particular group of people, which were white males that owned their own property. Today, most people over the age of eighteen can vote, except for the mentally incompetent or people who have been convicted of major felonies in some states. The decline of voter participation has always been a debate in the public arena. According to McDonald and Popkin, it is “the most important, most familiar, most analyzed, and most conjectured trend in recent American political history (2001, 963)” The question is, how important is voter turnout? In order to answer this question, one must first examine how voter participation is calculated. Many voters are skeptical as to whether or not their votes are significant enough to make a difference. In the article “What is the probability your vote will make a difference?”, Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, and Aaron Edlin examine the probability that a given person’s vote will be decisive in comparison to that of another. The following paragraphs will examine the differences between calculating voter turnout using the voting-age population versus voting-eligible population as well as the probability of vote decisiveness.

Voting is a simple process and many people are concerned about why people do not participate. It is assumed that voter turnout has decreased since the age requirement was dropped from 21 to 18 in 1971. The question is, why is the voter participation disappearing slowly? In order to answer this question, one must first examine how voter participation is calculated, and th...

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...lated as one might assume. Computing a statistic regarding voter turnout is difficult because it is hard to obtain accurate information on the population. Also, it can be debated which populations should be included and excluded in the overall population used to determine the statistics of voter turnout. Those who assume that one vote is not enough to make a difference are incorrect because although the vote of a random citizen may not seem as though it is decisive, those who live in states where there is higher individual vote decisiveness have a higher probability of making a difference.

Works Cited

Gelman, Andrew, Silver, Nate, & Edlin, Aaron. (2008). “What is the probability your vote will make a difference? pp. 1-5.

McDonald, Michael. P., & Popkin, Samuel. L. (2001). “The Myth of the Vanishing Voter”. American Political Science Review. 95(4), pp. 963-970.

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