To What Extent Does Contractionary Policy Contribute to a Decline in Economic Activity?

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Fiscal policy is the government’s attempt to influence the economy by setting and changing taxes, government spending, and the government’s deficit and debt (Matthews et al 2003). Contractionary fiscal policy is, therefore, a policy where a decrease in government’s spending, an increase in taxes plus a decrease in transfer payments are applied to mitigate the inflationary issues that occur during a business cycle expansion. Thus, it restrains the economy, decreases the inflation rate and closes the inflation gap. This Essay will investigate the extent of the contribution of this policy to a decline in economic activity. Consequently, it will analyse the effects on economic activity under the Keynesian theory, the “classical” theory, and the Mundell-Fleming model. Furthermore, commentary on the results of an empirical study under a fixed exchange rate regime of the Obstfeld and Rogoff model will be provided and contrasted to other theories and models.

Contractionary fiscal policy, which is a reduction in the budget deficit, works through government spending and taxes. However, it is easier to separate them into three tools, namely, government purchases, taxes and transfer payments to see their effect on economic activity in the short run, medium run and long run. Government purchases are government expenditures, which are undertaken by government agencies, on final goods and services or gross domestic product in an economy. These include small items such as paper clips, office furniture, and teachers’ salaries to motorway construction. Hence, contractionary fiscal policy will involve a cut in funds appropriated to the various agents, thereby reducing aggregate production, income and inflation rates. Consequently, this policy is ...

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Works Cited

AmosWeb (2012) Contractionary Fiscal Policy. [online] Available at: http://www.amosweb.com/cgi-bin/awb_nav.pl?s=wpd&c=dsp&k=contractionary+fiscal+policy [Accessed: 10 March 2012].

Blanchard, O. (2011) Macroeconomics. 5th ed. Massachusetts: Pearson.

Casella, P. (2001) Fiscal consolidation under fixed exchange rates. European Economic Review, 45 (3), p.425-450.

Giavazzi, F. and Pagano, M. (1990) Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 5 p.75-110.

Matthews, K. et al. (2003) Economics. 5th ed. Edinburgh: Pearson.

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