Role Of Financial Intermediaries

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Economy

methods such as credit cards unsecured

loans. According to the research,

consumers have become less comfortable

about the amount of debt they are

shouldering. Indeed, homelessness

charity Sheher estimates that tbere will be

130,000 personal insolvencies this year.

While the research echoes many leading

economists in predicting that the UK will

not experience a recession in the technical

sense (two consecutive quarters of

negative GDP growth), the slowdown will

continue well into 2009, and the economy

is unlikelyto pickup until2010.

In response to this, a bigh proportion

of consumers are set to 'trade down', by

choosing cheaper brands and retailers.

However, the willingness to resort to

shopping at discount retailers varies by

level of anxiety. Eigbty percent of

consumers categorised as 'panicked' are

more likely to trade down, compared with

just 34% of'placid'consumers. Inline

with this, only 33% of placid consumers

say they will eat out less frequently, while

even fewerthink they will stop shopping

for fun and pleasure.

Most consumers are increasingly price

sensitive, with 73% paying more attention

to the price of tbe grocery products they

are buying. The research also found that

70% of consumers are searching the

internet for cheaper prices, choosing

products on the basis of special offers, and

using coupons and vouchers. Pricecomparison

websites are being visited hy

60% of consumers, while 58% are taking

advantage of loyalty cards.

There is no doubt that consumers will

be considerably more focused on price

over the coming 12 months. During the

1991 recession, coupon firm Valassis

£l4tn

amount of personal debt

accrued by UK consumers

73%

of consumers more likely

to pay attention to the

prices of grocery products

70°/c0

of consumers wiil search

the internet for iower

product prices

63%0

of consumers more iikeiy

to switch from usuai brand

to cheaper aiternative

if price increases

reported a 60% rise in the distribution

of coupons and a 17% rise in the volume

of those redeemed, compared with 1990.

Tactical pricing and sales promotion

activity may serve to draw new consumers

to a brand at a time when loyalty is open

to challenge.

Perhaps the single most concerning

result for brands Is the fact that 60% of

consumers say they are going to purchase

less over the coming year. Crucially, the

research suggests that a small increase in

anxiety levels will result in a significant

decline in spending. Certain categories

How marketers can benefit from the recession

will Galgey

Managing director,

Henley Centre HeadlightVision

After 63 consecutive quarters of

economic growth, the current economic

climate ¡s very different from that to

which consumers and businesses have

been accustomed. It is academic as to

whether we enter a recession in the

technical sense of two consecutive

quarters of negative growth. The key

point is that the boom is over - and the

impact of this downturn on consumer

behaviour is already being felt.

Economic slowdowns are inherently

unpredictable, and, crucialiy, no two are

the same. This makes It difficult, and

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