Predicting China's Future: Economic Growth and Democratic Evolution

China has a very long and interesting history. It is one of the only places on earth that there has not been colonization, and has had no major regime change in recent history. The country’s history and tradition has had a lasting effect on its political behavior. However history does not determine the future and socially and economically China has been developing at a rapid rate. I believe that China will become more a more free state in the future, because of the country’s increasing GDP, and its increasing civil culture. However, I do not believe Rowan’s writing was a persuasive argument.

Economics have a very high correlation to democracies. Typically states with high Gross Domestic Product (GDP) tend to be democratic. Both the Rowen

A principle aspect of democracy is that the rulers are accountable to the ruled. The people must be engage with the political system. China is gradually gaining this engagement within its citizens instead of repressing it. This has occurred with the help of new media, and cellphones, which limited the Chinese government ability to oversee its citizens and what information they had access to. In May of 2007, citizens were outraged over the construction of a chemical plant. With the assistance of cellphones, they were able to voice their concerns to mass quantities quickly, and started a peaceful protest, and although many deemed the protest illegal, the government did nothing to stop it (Thornton 10). They allowed their citizens use their voices, and showed the government that they do have the

While these statistics were informative, they did seemed to hinder his case more than help it. Before I had time to fully process the fact, there was another. He was constantly overshadowing the values with more values. This all the while the article seemed, as Yang’s students put it, optimistic (Yang, 59). His first prediction gave China twenty years to make their transition. Now he is giving the same scenario ten years to achieve the same goal, even though China has made only the slightest improvement to their freedom house