The False Consensus Effect

725 Words2 Pages

In the research, the students were presented with identical surveys and were unaware of the psychological topic of the survey; therefore, the results were reliable. Overall, 60.5% of the participants believed that others would make the same choices as they did, according to Graph 1.1. The results from the first, third and fourth scenario all strengthened the theory of false consensus effect. Only data from the second scenario rejected the theory as merely 30.9% of the participants predicted that most people would choose the same option as they did, based on Table 1.1. Therefore, the majority of the results approved the hypothesis that people were unconsciously influenced by the false consensus effect. The differing responses between upperclassmen …show more content…

The percentage of boys estimating consensus was 63.78%, which was slightly higher than the percentage of girls--60.71%. The 3.07% was consistent with the hypothesis, but it was too minor to prove the validness of the hypothesis. Nevertheless, it was noticeable that the percentage of the estimated consensus for boys in every scenario was above 50%, while the lowest percentage of the false consensus is 38.10% created by girls in the second scenario. The hypothesis was formulated based on the research of the level of self-esteem for females and males, but the self-esteem level was not evaluated in this research because of its complexity and abstractness. Thus, the future research should integrate accurate measurement of self-esteem to test the correlation between false consensus bias and self-esteem of females and males. Withdrawing a larger sample with equal gender distribution would also be an approach for more precise …show more content…

In this way, the participants had clear idea about the consequence of each choice so that they would make more insightful decisions. In addition, the sample covered every grade level of high school students and gender with relatively equal distribution. However, the sample were all drawn from students in Xavier High School, which was a biased group, and the situation might differ in other schools. Also, high school students did not represent the whole population of teenagers. Therefore, performing the research with more diversified sample would be necessary for future research to explore the false consensus effect. This research only examined the generality of the false consensus effect; the reasons behind it were not yet investigated. Future research can further the study by looking for the possible causes of the false consensus

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