Summary: The Illinois Budget Crisis

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I. Introduction Throughout the spring and summer of 2017, numerous articles appeared in local and national media outlets describing the escalating financial crisis in the State of Illinois. The main proximate cause of the looming budget disaster and its accompanying media attention was the high likelihood that the Republican Governor, Bruce Rauner, and the Democratically-controlled Illinois State Legislature, led by House Speaker Mike Madigan, would not reach an agreement on a state budget by the 30 June deadline for a third consecutive fiscal year . The immediate consequences of failing to enact a budget were far-reaching and included continuing detrimental impacts to social services, the state’s inability to pay its bills even to lottery …show more content…

To illustrate these tendencies, several macro-level trends and events in Illinois’ recent history warrant brief discussion. First, Thomas Walstrum, a business economist from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, published a striking analysis in 2016 concerning Illinois’ fiscal situation that succinctly illustrated how the state’s current fiscal trajectory essentially began in the late 1980s. In his article, “The Illinois Budget Crisis in Context: A History of Poor Fiscal Performance,” he posits that the state could have been categorized as a low-expenditure, low-revenue state prior to the 1990s (Walstrum). Starting in the mid-1990s, however, his analysis shows that the state began consistently spending more than it took in in revenues, significantly outpacing the national average (see figs. 1-3). From the years 1994 to 2010, Illinois’s spending averaged 115.9% of its revenues compared with 105.7% for the typical U.S. state (see fig. 4). The main source of this increased spending was pension-related and since revenues continued to remain low, the state began accruing debt to cover these liabilities (Walstrum). This imbalance between revenues and expenditures indicates that Illinois’ budget has not really been balanced since this period in the 90s. In his analysis, Walstrum also treats the yearly change in pension liabilities as an expenditure, treating future payments as if they were being made right now. In doing so, he demonstrates that Illinois was actually a much higher expenditure state than commonly believed since it was merely deferring those expenditures in the form of pension fund payments well into the future

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