Role Of Ignorance In Conspiracy Theories

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Appeals to ignorance play a significant role in arguments about conspiracy theories. Due to being secretive by nature, many conspiracy theorists argue that a lack of evidence in itself is proof of a conspiracy having occurred. This makes it very difficult for conspiracy theories to be evaluated conclusively, however we have good grounds to believe their existence when a number of criteria are fulfilled. To understand the draw of conspiracy theories, we must first understand the role of appeals to ignorance. An appeal to ignorance is a form of abductive argument which assumes a conclusion to be true based on lack of evidence refuting it. This can be seen in the form of arguments such as ‘you can’t prove that Bush didn’t do 9/11 so it must mean …show more content…

(Keeley, ‘Of Conspiracy Theories’, 1999, pg. 119) Often, conspiracy theorists develop their theories specifically to account for as much evidence as possible in an attempt to lend them credence. Examples include the ‘Paul is dead’ conspiracy theory which accounts for vast amounts of insignificant details (such as him not wearing shoes and a car sign plate displaying his age) attempting to convince people of a conspiracy having …show more content…

However, it should be noted that simply showing the possibility of a shared motive by the conspirators is not a viable enough justification to prove the existence of a conspiracy. Instead, it should be carefully considered whether or not the motive was compelling enough to necessitate the orchestration of a conspiracy. Often, it would not be worth undertaking conspiratorial action if there were any other methods of attaining their goals at a lower cost. Due to the high-stakes and effort required to successfully plan, execute and conceal a conspiracy, if there are any viable alternative methods to achieving the same goal then the likelihood of a conspiracy having occurred is significantly lowered. Even if no lower-cost alternatives exist, it is important to note whether the risks and effort expended to successfully carry out the conspiracy are sufficient to justify the proposed motives of the

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