ISIS: Strategic Model And The Natural System Model

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The Islamic State, also known as ISIS, got its start in the early 2000’s in Iraq. It has since grown into one of the most threatening terror organizations in the world. This paper will focus on ISIS’s motivations regarding their terror attacks in Paris and Belgium in 2015 and 2016 using the Strategic Model and the Natural System model. These terror attacks were directed at a western audience and were used to both further ISIS political agenda of removing western influence from the Middle East and served as a recruitment tool for potential western recruits. This paper will first give a background on The Islamic State, the attacks in Paris and Brussels, and then it will analyze how it is beneficial to look at the Islamic States motives using …show more content…

129 people were killed and 352 died. Two suicide bombers detonated their bombs outside the national football stadium where France and Germany were playing a highly attended match. A few minutes later three attackers entered the Bataclan music hall, where shots were fired and two of the three attackers detonated suicide vests. Some were also shot in the streets on the attacker way to the music hall. The Islamic State claimed credit for the attack several weeks later, though it was assumed responsible immediately after the attack as those involved with the attack had previously been linked to …show more content…

As their organization has become larger; they have taken over more territory and created a state. Due to the various conflicts in the Middle East, and the west’s involvement in these conflicts, direct attacks on western states, such as the terror attacks in Paris and Brussels, are a viable way to achieve ISIS’s goals. While The Islamic State is estimated to have around 30,000 troops, their forces are dwarfed by the western states they are fighting. Due to the level of asymmetry in the conflict, ISIS must rely on unconventional methods of warfare, one of which is terror attacks. By attacking the citizens of states that are fighting against ISIS, they are using terror as a means of deterrence, both against the state they are attacking, and against all other states considering joining the coalition against The Islamic State. The mass fear that is caused by attacks such as the ones in Paris and Brussels make citizens more hesitant to engage in war with these organizations. On the other hand, it causes state leaders to be more insistent on war with these organizations; Brussels resumed its airstrikes against ISIS three days after the attack. This gives The Islamic State what it wants: a long war with the west that will eventually cause western civilians to want to back out of a war that seems impossible to

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