Congressional Polarization Essay

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Polarization is the trend in which two parties usurp complete power within a political system, then pushing that power in two opposite ends of the spectrum. Sorting, a type of political polarization, can account for the trends in congressional polarization, but scholars often disagree about whether direct polarization or sorting affects Congress. While either of these polarization methods decreased moderates in Congress, these trends differ immensely from public polarization. Congressional polarization often obscures the role of moderates in the public because scholars cannot track public polarization trends as easily as congressional trends. Congressional trends often shift partisans further toward the radical left or right, despite this, …show more content…

According to scholars, many moderates in the public ‘lean’ toward either the Democratic or Republican camp, which complicates the polarization trends (a); they often outnumber partisans of the party towards which they ‘lean’ (Smith). While the public remains consistently moderate, Congress consistently loses its moderates as they retire, and more radical congressmen and women secure their places (Fiorina 5). Fiorina hardly considers independents or moderates in this essay; this mistake overlooks their ‘swing vote’ in many major elections for both Congress and the executive branch (Enns and Schmidt). But, Hill and Tausanovitch note that while tracking Congressional polarization may be easy, public polarization is more difficult. So, accounting for the 'swing vote' becomes difficult because accounting for public polarization at all is a daunting task (1068). The claim that diversity in moderates has been decreasing (Hill and Tausanovitch 1073) disagrees with recent polls; many moderates disagree with the extremist views of the right and left, rather they often fall somewhere in the middle on many key issues (Ball). Moderates in the public do not follow polarization or sorting as some scholars explain; they do not belong any party, but vote depending on the issues and can often decide the winner of major …show more content…

Unlike partisans, moderates can change their vote depending on any number of factors (Enns and Schuldt). But, the moderate 'leaner' can often take more convincing than more central moderates; this, however, does not mean they cannot be convinced to vote for the other party. Contrary to that belief, all moderates, even 'leaners' remain the 'swing vote' in an election; they can vote for either party whether they 'lean' toward a political party or not. These voters can change a predicted win into a loss by simply remaining without a party. Moderates stay a ‘swing vote’ during election such as in the last presidential election in which even moderates that ‘leaned’ left voted for President Trump (Enns and Schmidt). Anything can sway a vote for moderates; partisan loyalty does not hold their vote. Usually, the deciding that often sways moderates’ votes are singular or multiple issues. Because of a lack of a partisanship, moderates can view each side of an issue considering the virtues of every side before making their choice (Smith). By considering each issue this way, moderates may consider each candidate without bias. Rather than viewing partisanship, moderates analyze the candidates and issues which allow them to make an informed decision. How moderates vote contrasts with many who belong to a partisanship. Moderates vote to support issues they find important rather than voting

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