Analysis Of Barbara Geddes What Do We Know About Democratization After 20 Years

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Political systems fluctuate across the world, and can range from democracies to dictatorships. In “What Do We Know About Democratization After 20 Years”, Barbara Geddes explores the changes in democracy over a period of twenty years and the likelihood of countries interchanging between democratic governments and authoritarian regimes. Geddes compares the differences between the three main types of authoritarian regimes, which are single-party, personalist, and military. She also argues that military regimes tend to have shorter life spans than the other main types of authoritarian regimes because the military regimes are more susceptible to crumbling, and are less resilient to overcoming exogenous shocks.
In her article, Geddes describes that …show more content…

The leader can even be an officer in the military or can create his own political party in order to support him and his campaign. Personalist regimes usually develop after rival leaders struggle to gain power and one eventually seizes an office. Rafael Trujillo’s personalist regime in the Dominican Republic (1930-1961) was an example of an occurrence where they transformed from a military to personalist regime. Personalist regimes are also relatively resistant to internal splits except when disastrous economic conditions disrupt the regime. Moreover, they are particularly vulnerable to the death of their leader, powerful overthrows, and violent …show more content…

Furthermore, the military desires to be self-run without civilian interference, and also to have a budget large enough to purchase state of the art weapons, and to recruit top military personnel. Geddes explains that military regimes have a greater chance to collapse because of relationships and rivalries within the rulers of the authoritarian government, and the cliques surrounding it. Another key factor in military rule transitioning to a different authoritarian regime is that military governments have a higher chance of stepping down before a country reaches a major crisis, and the military leaders are more likely to negotiate an obedient transition. Because negotiations play an important role in the transition from military rule than quick and hectic personalist rule, it is more probable that pacts will

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