Analysis Of BHP Billiton

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Executive Summary

This report examines the existence of trends in the Australian share market with respect to the effect of profit announcements in the mining industry; specifically the effect on BHP Billiton. The price index of BHP Billiton and two of its competitors, namely Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group, on the Australian Stock Exchange has been recorded for 3 weeks before and 3 weeks after a profit announcement in order to facilitate an investigation into investor behaviour following the release of accounting information. Closer examination of BHP Billiton’s internal management and wider external economic forces have also been in order to better predict the market’s reaction before analysis of the actual reaction of investors. Key factors, including the improvement of cash flows in and out of BHP, change in accounting standards and an increase in leverage are integral in assessing the effect a profit announcement on an industry that has previously been in gradual decline. Ultimately it has found to be a combination of these factors, in addition to a change in political circumstances that can be attributed to an increase in stock price following the profit announcement.

This report aims to analyse the effect of releasing accounting information on investor trading. More specifically, the direct effect of a publicly listed company, and two of its competitors, announcing profit figures and the resultant change in share price due to the natural economic forces of demand and investor perception of the wider industry. Having regard to this, the market’s reaction to BHP Billiton releasing its half yearly profit statement will be investigated to determine the direct effect the announcement had on the share price listed on the...

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In addition to this, both internal and external factors were examined to explore possibilities for why the share price increased on the date of announcement. Closer examination of financial ratios revealed that BHP’s success so far has been to improved productivity from low risk investments, essentially demonstrating that the company, whilst investing in higher risk programs, have kept to the bread and butter of the company’s business venture in order to increase cash flow so net debt can be reduced in the second half of the financial year.

As such, BHP is firmly within a consolidation period with a focus on increasing efficiency of outgoing cash flow and down payment of debt whilst maintaining its reputation as a safe stock that provides consistent return on investment capital, further cementing its place as a leader in the mining industry.

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