Data Analysis And Experimental Uncertainty

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Types of Uncertainty

There are two basic kinds of uncertainties, systematic and random uncertainties. Systematic un-

certainties are those due to faults in the measuring instrument or in the techniques used in the

experiment. Here are some examples of systematic uncertainty:

• If you measure the length of a table with a steel tape which has a kink in it, you will obtain

a value which will appear to be too large by an amount equal to the loss in length resulting

from the kink. On the other hand, a calibration error in the steel tape itselfâ€"an incorrect

spacing of the markingsâ€"will produce a bias in one direction.

• If you measure the period if a pendulum with a clock that runs too fast, the apparent period

will be systematically too long.

• The stiffness of many springs depends on their temperature. If you measure the stiffness of

a spring many times, by compressing and decompressing it, the internal friction inside the

spring may cause it to warm. You may see this by a systematic trend in your data set; for

example, each data point in a data set will be smaller than the previous one.

Random uncertainties are associated with unpredictable variations in the experimental conditions

under which the experiment is being performed, or are due to a deficiency in defining the quantity

being measured. Here are some examples of random uncertainty:

Changes in room temperature, electrical noise from nearby machinery, or imperfect connec-

tions to the voltmeter probes may cause random fluctuations in the magnitude of a quantity

measured by a voltmeter

The length of a table may depend on which two points along the edge of the table the

measurement is made. The "length” is imprecisely defined in such a case....

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...ken.

The standard deviation s defined by Eq. (2) provides the random uncertainty estimate for any one

of the measurements used to compute s. Intuitively we expect the mean value of the measurements

to have less random uncertainty than any one of the individual measurements. It can be shown

that the standard deviation of the mean value of a set of measurements σm, ("sigma-em”) when all

measurements have equal statistical weight, is given by

σm =

sPN

i=1(xi âˆ' x)2

N(N âˆ' 1)

= s

√

N

.Note that σm is necessarily smaller than s. When we speak of the uncertainty σ of a set of measure-

ments made under identical conditions, we mean that number σm and not s. It is most important

that the student distinguish properly between standard deviation associated with individual data

points, s, and standard deviation of the mean of a set of data points, σm.

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